Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Rayo Majadahonda		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.8	2.3
	3	2.87	2.25
	3.25	2.95	2.3
	3.25	3.06	2.42
	3.09	3.06	2.42
	3.13	2.95	2.38
	3.1	2.95	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.74)	2.95 ↓ (3)	2.34 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Majadahonda
29.3%

Draw
31.3%

Ponferradina
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

30.3%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

25.7%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Majadahonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ponferradina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Rayo Majadahonda - Ponferradina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Andujar D. 🟨,
40', Borja V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Lopez A. 🟨,
56', Casado J. 🟨,
58', Arnedo A. 🟨,
60', Arnedo A. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
64', Carrique T. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
64', Longo S. ↓, Diez A. ↑,
69', Navarro S. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
69', Garcia S. ↓, Hervias P. ↑,
74', 0 - 1, Costa A. ⚽,
77', Suarez P. ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
77', Tavares R. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
80', Javi Lancho ↓, Lozano M. ↑,
80', Llonch P. ↓, Leal A. ↑,
83', Lopez A. ↓, Jimenez N. ↑,
87', Lozano M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Ponferradina will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rayo Majadahonda won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Majadahonda won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.03.24	Sestao - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Deportivo A Coruña	0:2 ✺
17.03.24	Arenteiro - Rayo Majadahonda	2:2 ✺
09.03.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Teruel - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTTL
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
31.03.24	Ponferradina - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Tarazona - Ponferradina	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Ponferradina - Lugo	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Celta de Vigo B - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Fuenlabrada - Ponferradina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.11.23	Ponferradina - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.01.18	Rayo Majadahonda - Ponferradina	1:1
10.09.17	Ponferradina - Rayo Majadahonda	4:0

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