Match Info

USL League One

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Cabaniss Athletic Complex (Corpus Christi, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Corpus Christi		Forward Madison

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	3.20	2.40
	2.75	3.25	2.23
	2.59	3.33	2.59
	2.64	3.37	2.54	Watch
	2.65	3.25	2.45
	2.63	3.42	2.53	Watch
	2.50	3.30	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.75)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)	2.44 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corpus Christi
34.9%

Draw
27.7%

Forward Madison
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

27.5%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

26.7%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corpus Christi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corpus Christi than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Corpus Christi - Forward Madison Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Talbot J. (G) 6. Langlois P. (C) 4. Keaney J. 5. Roscoe S. 22. Gomez S. 80. Booth A. 26. Medina A. 27. Pondeca T. 2. Bowen B. 21. Abeal I. 12. Keegan J.	1. Harms J. (G) 20. Carmichael K. 5. Shannon J. 4. McCamy C. 3. Edwards A. 12. Torres R. 8. Segbers M. (C) 6. Kanyane G. 9. Carmichael R. 11. Ngoubou C. 7. Bolma J.
Substitutes
18. Bachstein D. 19. Barganski K. 11. Johnson E. 24. McCready M. (G) 15. Parks J. 17. Shalita M. 7. Thomas K. T.	57. Augee B. 38. Goumballe M. 14. Gyamfi S. 19. Manske T. (G) 23. Munjoma E.
Coaches
Zayed E.	Glaeser M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Torres R. 🟨,
23', Edwards A. 🟨,
24', Bowen B. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Segbers M. ↓, Augee B. ↑,
53', Booth A. 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Ngoubou C. ⚽,
62', Edwards A. ↓, Munjoma E. ↑,
62', Pondeca T. ↓, Johnson E. ↑,
64', Johnson E. 🟨,
66', Keaney J. 🟨,
67', 0 - 2, Carmichael R. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Ngoubou C. ↓, Gyamfi S. ↑,
75', Abeal I. ↓, Bachstein D. ↑,
75', Torres R. ↓, Goumballe M. ↑,
80', Goumballe M. 🟨,
90+1', Keegan J. 🟨,
90+6', Gomez S. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent performances by Corpus Christi have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Forward Madison is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Corpus Christi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Corpus Christi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Forward Madison ✔	29	15	7	7	50:27	23	52
10	Corpus Christi FC	29	9	9	11	33:43	-10	36

Last Results with these Odds

Forward Madison - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.05%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corpus Christi FC
USL League One
22.08.26	Corpus Christi - Westchester SC	2:2 ✺
19.08.26	Corpus Christi - New York Cosmos	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Spokane Velocity - Corpus Christi	2:3 ✺
08.08.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Corpus Christi	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Boise - Corpus Christi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 TLWWT
- Forward Madison
USL League One
02.09.26	Forward Madison - One Knoxville	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Richmond Kickers - Forward Madison	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Forward Madison	1:2 ✺
12.08.26	Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
29.05.26	Forward Madison - Corpus Christi	3:0

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