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Current Win Probability
Richmond Kickers 26.9%
Draw 25.3%
Forward Madison 47.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.6%
25.7%
49.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.2%
25.2%
50.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Richmond Kickers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Richmond Kickers - Forward Madison Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fillion Y. (C) 44. Gallegos A. 4. Layton S. 2. Barnathan D. 3. Anderson H. 45. Hanson H. 6. Sasankhah A. 12. O'Malley O. 19. Espinal D. 7. Johnson L. 9. Kirkland J.
1. Harms J. (G) 20. Carmichael K. (C) 5. Shannon J. 33. Toure K. 23. Munjoma E. 4. McCamy C. 12. Torres R. 6. Kanyane G. 9. Carmichael R. 14. Gyamfi S. 7. Bolma J.
Substitutes
18. Amer A. 32. Bolduc M. 23. Freeman T. 26. Murana M. 11. Pannholzer T. 35. Sneddon J. (G) 14. Vazquez Z. 22. Vinberg S. 13. Wintsch A. (G)
57. Augee B. 3. Edwards A. 24. Forbes J. 13. Humphrey T. 19. Manske T. (G) 11. Ngoubou C. 8. Segbers M.
Coaches
Ownby B.
Glaeser M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Torres R. ⚽, Bolma J. (A),
13', Kanyane G. 🟨,
26', Torres R. 🟨,
30', Glaeser M. 🟨,
41', Hanson H. ↓, Murana M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', McCamy C. ↓, Segbers M. ↑,
46', Kanyane G. ↓, Forbes J. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Munjoma E. ⚽, Torres R. (A),
63', O'Malley O. ↓, Freeman T. ↑,
63', Espinal D. ↓, Pannholzer T. ↑,
64', Freeman T. 🟨,
65', Bolma J. ↓, Augee B. ↑,
65', Carmichael R. ↓, Ngoubou C. ↑,
69', Munjoma E. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
76', Johnson L. ↓, Bolduc M. ↑,
76', Barnathan D. ↓, Amer A. ↑,
90+1', Ngoubou C. 🟨,
90+1', Anderson H. 🟨,
90+3', Anderson H. 🟥,
90+6', 1 - 2, Kirkland J. ⚽, Pannholzer T. (A),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richmond Kickers won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Forward Madison might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Richmond Kickers won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Richmond Kickers won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Forward Madison ✔
29
15
7
7
50:27
23
52
17
Richmond Kickers
29
6
5
18
30:60
-30
23
Last Results with these Odds
Richmond Kickers - the odds 3.65 are the expected chance of winning is 24.63%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Forward Madison - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 49.68%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.