Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 21

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Virtus		Fiorentino

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.15	12	Watch
	1.19	5.59	10.55
	1.22	5.47	11.71	Watch
	1.2	4.8	13
	1.18	5.55	13.7
	1.18	5.33	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.27)	5.32 ↓ (5.6)	12.33 ↑ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus
75.7%

Draw
17%

Fiorentino
7.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.7%

16.3%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Fiorentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Virtus - Fiorentino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, De Lucia U. ⚽, Rinaldi M. (A),
77', 2 - 0, Scappini S. ⚽, Buonocunto I. (A),
89', 3 - 0, Zenoni M. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus won 3.

Virtus has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fiorentino has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fiorentino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Virtus is the clear favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Virtus won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:7. (average 2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Virtus	4	3	1	0	6:2	4	10
9	Fiorentino	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Virtus
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
11.02.26	Virtus - AC Libertas	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Virtus - San Marino Academy U22	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Cosmos - Virtus	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Virtus - Pennarossa	3:1 ✺
21.01.26	Folgore - Virtus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTWW
- FC Fiorentino
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
11.02.26	La Fiorita - Fiorentino	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Fiorentino - Folgore	0:4 ✺
01.02.26	Domagnano - Fiorentino	2:3 ✺
24.01.26	Fiorentino - San Giovanni	0:1 ✺
20.01.26	Pennarossa - Fiorentino	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
18.10.25	Fiorentino - Virtus	0:4
02.02.25	Virtus - Fiorentino	2:0
10.02.24	Fiorentino - Virtus	3:1
06.10.23	Virtus - Fiorentino	4:0
04.02.23	Virtus - Fiorentino	1:1
17.09.22	Fiorentino - Virtus	1:2
12.03.22	Fiorentino - Virtus	1:1

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