Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 22

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio di Fiorentino (Fiorentino)


	Fiorentino		Juvenes-Dogana

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.25	1.9	Watch
	3.62	3.48	1.91	Watch
	3.7	3.1	1.85
	3.82	3.34	1.85
	2.78	3.45	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (2.78)	3.32 ↓ (3.45)	1.95 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fiorentino
26%

Draw
27.3%

Juvenes-Dogana
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

26.4%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

25.2%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorentino's form might have worsened.

Juvenes-Dogana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juvenes-Dogana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juvenes-Dogana than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Fiorentino - Juvenes Dogana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
79', 1 - 0, Evaristi M. ⚽,
81', 2 - 0, Belward S. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, Cecchetti L. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentino won 0.

In recent matches, Fiorentino has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Juvenes-Dogana is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Fiorentino won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentino won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Fiorentino	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4
10	Juvenes/Dogana	4	1	0	3	6:6	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fiorentino
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
15.02.26	Virtus - Fiorentino	3:0 ✺
11.02.26	La Fiorita - Fiorentino	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Fiorentino - Folgore	0:4 ✺
01.02.26	Domagnano - Fiorentino	2:3 ✺
24.01.26	Fiorentino - San Giovanni	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.9 LWLWL
- Juvenes-Dogana
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
14.02.26	Juvenes-Dogana - Domagnano	1:4 ✺
10.02.26	Murata - Juvenes-Dogana	1:5 ✺
07.02.26	La Fiorita - Juvenes-Dogana	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Juvenes-Dogana - Cailungo	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Juvenes-Dogana - Tre Fiori	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
26.10.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Fiorentino	1:1
San Marino Coppa Titano
22.10.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Fiorentino	3:0
24.09.25	Fiorentino - Juvenes-Dogana	2:2
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
30.04.25	Fiorentino - Juvenes-Dogana	1:1
18.01.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Fiorentino	0:0
San Marino Coppa Titano
23.10.24	Fiorentino - Juvenes-Dogana	0:2
25.09.24	Juvenes-Dogana - Fiorentino	1:0

Fiorentino - Juvenes-Dogana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide