The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fiorentino 20%
Draw 26.8%
Folgore 53.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.8%
24.2%
56%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.2%
23.4%
57.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Folgore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Fiorentino - Folgore Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
17', 0 - 1, Pancotti S. (Penalty Awarded),
34', 0 - 2, Garcia A. ⚽, Raschi J. (A),
35', 0 - 3, Raschi J. ⚽, Malaponti F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 0 - 4, Castorina A. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentino won 0.
In recent matches, Fiorentino has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Folgore is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Fiorentino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Folgore is seen as the favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Fiorentino won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.7:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentino won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.7:2).
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