Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 4

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu (General Pico)


	Costa Brava		Guillermo Brown

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.00	5.50
	1.62	2.95	5.7
	1.58	3.11	6.29
	1.62	3.18	6.43	Watch
	1.56	3.05	6.2
	1.62	3.08	6.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.66)	3.06 ↓ (3.15)	6.07 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Costa Brava
55.9%

Draw
29.3%

Guillermo Brown
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

28.4%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

27.4%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Costa Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Costa Brava than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Grinovero A. (G)
	5. Chiavetto A.
	4. Conde M.
	7. Cucchi P.
	6. Diaz R.
	11. Goiburu E.
	8. Mera B.
	3. Moreno E.
	2. Paparelli R.
	10. Rivero M.
	9. Zapulla I.
Substitutes
	13. Alvarez A.
	19. Ayala E.
	20. Dezi L.
	17. Esmay V.
	15. Giaccone F.
	18. Hang F.
	14. Silva F.
	12. Ullua S. (G)
	16. Vallejos I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Lopez A. ⚽,
61', 🟨,
62', Garoni J. ↓, Vivani J. ↑,
63', Diaz R. 🟥,
66', 🟨,
67', Mera B. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
68', 🟨,
80', 🟨,

Preview

Costa Brava is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Guillermo Brown has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Costa Brava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Costa Brava is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Costa Brava
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.08.26	FADEP - Costa Brava	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Costa Brava - Germinal	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Costa Brava	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Costa Brava - Deportivo Rincón	0:1 ✺
04.07.26	Huracán Las Heras - Costa Brava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTTLL
- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.08.26	Guillermo Brown - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Círculo Deportivo - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Guillermo Brown - Germinal	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Villa Mitre - Guillermo Brown	3:0 ✺
05.07.26	Guillermo Brown - Círculo Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLW

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