Match Info

Date: 25 January 2021, Monday


	Casa Pia		Cova De Piedade

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.4
	2.25	2.95	3.2
	2.12	3.1	3.3
	2.29	3.05	3.2
	2.34	3.25	3.36
	2.3	2.88	3.5
	2.28	2.93	3.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.97)	3.04 ↑ (2.94)	3.33 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casa Pia
41.3%

Draw
30.7%

Cova De Piedade
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

31.5%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

23.9%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casa Pia's form might have worsened.

Cova De Piedade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cova De Piedade's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+20.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casa Pia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cova De Piedade than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cova De Piedade, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.7%	26.7%	36.7%

Casa Pia - Cova De Piedade Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 11 - 36.7%). Cova De Piedade will win (votes: 11 - 36.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Casa Pia: 19.5% – 53.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 16).

Recent matches Casa Pia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cova De Piedade is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cova De Piedade could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Casa Pia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Casa Pia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casa Pia
Portuguese Liga 2
17.01.21	Varzim - Casa Pia	0:1 ✺
10.01.21	Casa Pia - Arouca	1:1 ✺
05.01.21	Académico de Viseu - Casa Pia	1:1 ✺
30.12.20	Casa Pia - Estoril Praia	0:2 ✺
20.12.20	Académica Coimbra - Casa Pia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTTLT
- Cova De Piedade
Portuguese Liga 2
10.01.21	Vizela - Cova De Piedade	2:1 ✺
04.01.21	Cova De Piedade - Porto B	1:1 ✺
29.12.20	Oliveirense - Cova De Piedade	0:0 ✺
19.12.20	Cova De Piedade - Penafiel	2:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
13.12.20	Cova De Piedade - Moreirense	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
01.03.20	Casa Pia - Cova De Piedade	1:1
22.09.19	Cova De Piedade - Casa Pia	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.05.16	Casa Pia - Cova De Piedade	1:0

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