Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Coventry Building Society Arena (Coventry)

Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Startimes Sports Life
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Japan	DAZN Japan
United-kingdom	LTFC+, Sky Sports+


	Coventry City		Luton Town

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.8	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.7
	1.98	3.55	3.55	Watch
	1.96	3.66	3.78
	1.95	3.6	3.8
	1.92	3.63	3.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.91)	3.61 ↓ (3.67)	3.74 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coventry City
48.6%

Draw
26.2%

Luton Town
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

25.6%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

27.6%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coventry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	8.3%	25%

Coventry City - Luton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Coventry will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Luton will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coventry: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Coventry (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Coventry (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Luton (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Coventry (votes: 3 - 75%). Luton (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wilson B. (G) 20. Kesler-Hayden K. 4. Thomas B. 21. Bidwell J. (C) 33. Brau M. 17. Borges Rodrigues R. 29. Torp V. 8. Allen J. 54. Andrews K. 9. Simms E. 11. Wright H.	1. Shea J. (G) 42. Chigozie C. 6. McGuinness M. (C) 29. Holmes T. 30. Kodua G. 8. Walsh L. 33. Bramall C. 37. Nelson Z. 10. Woodrow C. 22. Dabo L. 20. Nordas L.
Substitutes
40. Collins B. (G) 6. Grimes M. 15. Kitching L. 36. Obikwu J. 41. Perry C. 5. Rudoni J. 7. Sakamoto T. 23. Thomas-Asante B. 27. van Ewijk M.	7. Alli M. 5. Andersen M. 18. Clark J. 24. Keeley J. (G) 17. Lonwijk N. 39. Phillips J. 27. Richards J. 23. Saville G. 9. Yates J.
Coaches
Lampard F.	Bloomfield M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Holmes T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Thomas B. ↓, Kitching L. ↑,
46', Bramall C. ↓, Lonwijk N. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Simms E. ⚽, Wright H. (A),
59', Woodrow C. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
59', Kodua G. ↓, Richards J. ↑,
63', Wright H. ↓, Rudoni J. ↑,
63', Torp V. ↓, Grimes M. ↑,
63', Andrews K. ↓, Sakamoto T. ↑,
63', Holmes T. ↓, Phillips J. ↑,
64', Nordas L. ↓, Yates J. ↑,
75', Borges Rodrigues R. ↓, Thomas-Asante B. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 1.

In recent matches, Coventry has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Luton is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Coventry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Coventry has had a series of home games.

Coventry will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Coventry won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coventry City
English League Championship
09.08.25	Coventry City - Hull City	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Coventry City - St. Pauli	2:2 ✺
30.07.25	Coventry City - Betis	1:1 ✺
23.07.25	Bristol Rovers - Coventry City	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Coventry City - Monaco	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTTWL
- Luton Town
English League One
09.08.25	Peterborough United - Luton Town	0:2 ✺
01.08.25	Luton Town - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Luton Town - Tottenham Hotspur	0:0 ✺
22.07.25	Southend United - Luton Town	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Gillingham - Luton Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.04.25	Luton Town - Coventry City	1:0
26.10.24	Coventry City - Luton Town	3:2
27.05.23	Coventry City - Luton Town	1:2 penalties
11.02.23	Coventry City - Luton Town	1:1
14.09.22	Luton Town - Coventry City	2:2
08.03.22	Coventry City - Luton Town	0:1
29.09.21	Luton Town - Coventry City	5:0

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