Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 15

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Santos Pinto (Covilhã)

Referee: Pinho J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Covilhã		Vilafranquense

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.2
	3.1	2.95	2.2
	3	3.1	2.25
	3.2	3.1	2.2
	3.46	3.24	2.29
	3.2	2.9	2.2
	3.25	3.18	2.15
	3.15	3.1	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.98)	3.1 ↓ (3.15)	2.21 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covilhã
28.8%

Draw
29.6%

Vilafranquense
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

28.7%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

28.4%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Vilafranquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	15%	85%

Covilhã - Vilafranquense Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Vilafranquense will win (votes: 17 - 85%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vilafranquense: 69.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 0.

Covilhã is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Vilafranquense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vilafranquense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vilafranquense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 2
30.12.22	Oliveirense - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
14.12.22	Covilhã - Nacional	1:2 ✺
27.11.22	Portimonense - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Covilhã - Gil Vicente	2:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
13.11.22	Covilhã - BSAD	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLTT
- UD Vilafranquense
Portuguese Liga 2
23.12.22	Vilafranquense - Mafra	3:3 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
11.12.22	Vilafranquense - BSAD	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Boavista - Vilafranquense	1:0 ✺
19.11.22	Vilafranquense - Vitoria Guimarães	0:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
11.11.22	Torreense - Vilafranquense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
30.01.22	Covilhã - Vilafranquense	1:1
23.08.21	Vilafranquense - Covilhã	1:1
08.03.21	Vilafranquense - Covilhã	2:2
18.10.20	Covilhã - Vilafranquense	2:2
09.02.20	Vilafranquense - Covilhã	1:0
24.08.19	Covilhã - Vilafranquense	1:0

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