Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 9

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Lusitânia		Covilhã

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4	Watch
	1.78	3.5	4
	1.84	3.68	4.88
	1.73	3.68	4.89
	1.75	3.55	4.37
	1.74	3.45	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.84)	3.54 ↑ (3.45)	4.36 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitânia
52.6%

Draw
26.1%

Covilhã
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

27.1%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

26.4%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lusitânia - Covilhã Predictions

Users Predictions: Lusitânia will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Costa J. (G) 77. Goba 3. Lytvyn D. 6. Martins H. 28. Mesquita T. 5. Nandinho 96. Nem Jefferson 18. Pereira D. 83. Ribeiro S. 10. Rosado D. (C) 14. Valente M.	30. Makaridze G. (G) 99. Benedict E. 3. Casagrande P. 82. Figueiredo B. 8. Gilberto (C) 19. Joao Vasco 13. Michel 6. Moreira T. 80. Renato Luis 24. Tomas N. 7. Traquina
Substitutes
8. Abreu E. 66. Bamba Y. 12. Cerveira T. 26. Flores R. (G) 19. Fortes F. 17. Goncalves R. 4. Morais B. 89. Nuninho 21. Pereira M.	9. Chico Cardoso 15. Ferreira D. 20. Gildo 71. Joao Goncalo (G) 44. Monteiro I. 23. Pereira J. 21. Valente A. 5. Ze Simao 10. Ze Tiago

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Moreira T. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Benedict E. ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, Goba ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ribeiro S. ↓, Nuninho ↑,
46', Pereira D. ↓, Goncalves R. ↑,
46', Mesquita T. ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
53', Benedict E. ↓, Ferreira D. ↑,
59', Nandinho 🟨,
61', 2 - 2, Goba ⚽,
72', Renato Luis ↓, Gildo ↑,
72', Joao Vasco ↓, Ze Tiago ↑,
73', Goba ↓, Fortes F. ↑,
83', Traquina ↓, Chico Cardoso ↑,
83', Gilberto ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
90', Rosado D. ↓, Abreu E. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: ) and 7).

Recent matches Lusitânia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Covilhã is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Covilhã could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lusitânia is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lusitânia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Lusitânia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitânia FC
Portuguese Liga 3
07.04.24	Varzim - Lusitânia	4:3 ✺
31.03.24	Alverca - Lusitânia	3:1 ✺
17.03.24	Lusitânia - Atlético CP	3:1 ✺
10.03.24	Braga B - Lusitânia	2:2 ✺
02.03.24	Lusitânia - Felgueiras	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWTW
- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 3
07.04.24	Covilhã - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Felgueiras - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Covilhã - Varzim	2:2 ✺
09.03.24	Alverca - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Covilhã - Atlético CP	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
18.02.24	Covilhã - Lusitânia	0:1
Taça de Portugal
29.09.19	Lusitânia - Covilhã	4:2 ET

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