Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 7

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Felgueiras		Covilhã

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	5
	1.5	3.75	6
	1.56	4	6.02
	1.56	4	6.02
	1.54	3.74	5.55
	1.57	3.75	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.73)	3.82 ↑ (3.55)	5.58 ↑ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felgueiras
59.5%

Draw
24.1%

Covilhã
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

26.2%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

25.4%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Felgueiras's performance.

Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felgueiras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Pinto B. (G) 21. Cassio L. 23. Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. 34. Silva A. 29. Banguera E. 77. Andrade D. 7. Ktatau 8. Landinho 30. Feliz 9. Carlos Eduardo 11. Pereira M.	30. Makaridze G. (G) 24. Tomas N. 4. Adams M. 3. Casagrande P. 7. Traquina 10. Ze Tiago (C) 80. Renato Luis 21. Valente A. 20. Gildo 9. Chico Cardoso 19. Joao Vasco
Substitutes
22. Bruninho 27. Ca L. 14. Lemos I. M. 20. Moura M. 18. Pereira G. 28. Rosas P. 90. Santos J. 1. Sao Bento V. (G) 13. Takahashi K.	90. Campos P. 15. Ferreira D. 82. Figueiredo B. 8. Gilberto 71. Joao Goncalo (G) 13. Michel 44. Monteiro I. 6. Moreira T. 23. Pereira J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Casagrande P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Ktatau ⚽,
60', Valente A. 🟨,
60', Valente A. ↓, Figueiredo B. ↑,
61', Chico Cardoso ↓, Campos P. ↑,
61', Adams M. ↓, Ferreira D. ↑,
67', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Santos J. ↑,
72', Gildo ↓, Michel ↑,
72', Feliz ↓, Ca L. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Santos J. ⚽,
85', Figueiredo B. 🟨,
88', Ze Tiago ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
89', Pereira M. ↓, Takahashi K. ↑,
89', Andrade D. ↓, Pereira G. ↑,
89', Ktatau ↓, Rosas P. ↑,
90+7', Renato Luis 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 4 and 7).

Recent matches Felgueiras is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Covilhã is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Felgueiras is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 3
17.03.24	Braga B - Felgueiras	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Felgueiras - Varzim	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Lusitânia - Felgueiras	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Felgueiras - Alverca	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Felgueiras - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLTT
- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 3
17.03.24	Covilhã - Varzim	2:2 ✺
09.03.24	Alverca - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Covilhã - Atlético CP	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Braga B - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Covilhã - Lusitânia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLTTL

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