The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Covilhã 28.7%
Draw 30.6%
Tondela 40.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.4%
29.3%
49.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.9%
28.5%
50.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Covilhã's performance.
Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tondela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Covilhã that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tondela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.7%
60%
33.3%
Covilhã - Tondela Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Covilhã will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Tondela will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 60%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 84.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 8).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 2.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Tondela will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.
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