Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 17

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio João Cardoso (Tondela)

Referee: Macedo C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Tondela		Farense

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.3
	2.9	3.1	2.25
	3.1	3	2.25
	3.1	3.1	2.25
	3.3	3.23	2.38
	3.1	3	2.2
	3.04	3.16	2.26
	3.05	3.1	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.75)	3.09 ↓ (3.13)	2.27 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tondela
29.7%

Draw
29.7%

Farense
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

28.9%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

28.9%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	66.7%	25%

Tondela - Farense Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Farense will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tondela won 3.

Tondela is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Farense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tondela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Tondela have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Tondela won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Tondela won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2
15.01.23	Porto B - Tondela	1:1 ✺
09.01.23	Tondela - Penafiel	0:1 ✺
23.12.22	Feirense - Tondela	1:1 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
15.12.22	Académico de Viseu - Tondela	4:1 ✺
09.12.22	Famalicão - Tondela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLTLT
- SC Farense
Portuguese Liga 2
15.01.23	Farense - Benfica B	5:2 ✺
07.01.23	Farense - Nacional	1:0 ✺
28.12.22	Porto B - Farense	4:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
13.12.22	Rio Ave - Farense	2:1 ✺
07.12.22	Farense - Marítimo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
15.05.21	Farense - Tondela	1:0
30.01.21	Tondela - Farense	2:0
Portuguese Liga 2
19.04.15	Farense - Tondela	1:2
23.11.14	Tondela - Farense	1:0
23.02.14	Tondela - Farense	0:0
12.10.13	Farense - Tondela	0:0
Portuguese League Cup
04.08.13	Tondela - Farense	2:2

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