Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 28

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Kraków)

Referee: Arys K. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Cracovia		Arka Gdynia

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.25	4.33	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4.15	Watch
	1.86	3.38	4.89
	1.84	3.43	4.7	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.2
	1.87	3.38	4.5	Watch
	1.88	3.2	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.75)	3.29 ↓ (3.38)	4.39 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cracovia
50.4%

Draw
28.3%

Arka Gdynia
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

26.2%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

24.7%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Cracovia - Arka Gdynia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cracovia will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Arka will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cracovia: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Madejski S. (G) 79. Pila D. 66. Wojcik O. 4. Henriksson G. 39. Perkovic M. 43. Klich M. (C) 6. Al Ammari A. 11. Sans P. 70. Kameri D. 14. Hasic A. 99. Charpentier G.	1. Grobelny J. (G) 4. Zator D. 23. Hermoso K. 29. Marcjanik M. 94. Gojny D. (C) 35. Jakubczyk K. 10. Nguiamba A. 7. Kubiak O. 37. Kerk S. 11. Kocyla D. 19. Gutkovskis V.
Substitutes
29. Batoum J. 10. Dominguez M. 15. Glik K. 20. Knap K. 7. Praszelik M. 27. Ravas H. (G) 19. Tabisz M. 61. Traore B. 18. Zahiroleslam K.	33. Abramowicz D. 99. Espiau Hernandez E. D. 2. Navarro M. 6. Perea L. 31. Rusyn N. 22. Rzuchowski M. 3. Szota S. 21. Szysz P. 25. Vlad A. (G)
Coaches
Elsner L.	Banasik D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Charpentier G. ⚽, Al Ammari A. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Kubiak O. ⚽, Kerk S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Charpentier G. ↓, Praszelik M. ↑,
48', 1 - 2, Gutkovskis V. ⚽, Gojny D. (A),
53', 2 - 2, Perkovic M. ⚽, Hasic A. (A),
61', Kocyla D. ↓, Szysz P. ↑,
61', Kameri D. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
73', Nguiamba A. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
73', Kubiak O. ↓, Rusyn N. ↑,
74', Al Ammari A. 🟨,
81', Sans P. ↓, Tabisz M. ↑,
82', Perkovic M. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
82', Gutkovskis V. ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
82', Jakubczyk K. ↓, Rzuchowski M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 3.

Cracovia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Arka has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cracovia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cracovia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cracovia: Bogacz W. (Broken collarbone) Kakabadze O. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sutalo B. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cracovia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Cracovia: 0.73%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cracovia	10	3	2	5	12:15	-3	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.04.26	Górnik Zabrze - Cracovia	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Cracovia - GKS Katowice	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Cracovia - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Legia Warsaw - Cracovia	1:0 ✺
27.02.26	Cracovia - Piast Gliwice	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL
- Arka Gdynia
Polish Ekstraklasa
07.04.26	Arka Gdynia - Zagłębie Lubin	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Korona Kielce - Arka Gdynia	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	Arka Gdynia - Widzew Łódź	0:0 ✺
09.03.26	Wisła Płock - Arka Gdynia	0:3 ✺
05.03.26	Radomiak Radom - Arka Gdynia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
04.10.25	Arka Gdynia - Cracovia	2:1
07.02.20	Arka Gdynia - Cracovia	0:1
24.08.19	Cracovia - Arka Gdynia	3:1
10.12.18	Arka Gdynia - Cracovia	0:3
06.08.18	Cracovia - Arka Gdynia	0:0
08.05.18	Arka Gdynia - Cracovia	2:0
04.03.18	Cracovia - Arka Gdynia	2:1

Upcoming Matches