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Current Win Probability
Arka Gdynia 39.1%
Draw 30.6%
Zagłębie Lubin 30.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
29.7%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40%
30.6%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
43.7%
37.5%
18.7%
Arka Gdynia - Zagłębie Lubin Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Arka: 19.5% – 68.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
77. Weglarz D. (G) 4. Zator D. 23. Hermoso K. 29. Marcjanik M. 94. Gojny D. (C) 35. Jakubczyk K. 10. Nguiamba A. 7. Kubiak O. 37. Kerk S. 11. Kocyla D. 19. Gutkovskis V.
1. Buric J. (G) 16. Corluka J. 25. Nalepa M. 4. Michalski D. 35. Lucic L. 8. Dabrowski D. (C) 39. Kocaba F. 44. Regula M. 26. Kolan J. 7. Kowalczyk S. 17. Szabo L.
Substitutes
33. Abramowicz D. 99. Espiau Hernandez E. D. 1. Grobelny J. (G) 2. Navarro M. 6. Perea L. 22. Rzuchowski M. 8. Sidibe A. 3. Szota S. 21. Szysz P.
20. Dziewiatowski M. 12. Gikiewicz R. (G) 13. Grzybek M. 9. Kosidis M. 84. Ligocki J. 31. Orlikowski I. 18. Radwanski A. 19. Sypek J. 94. Urbanski M. 11. Wozniak A. 3. Yakuba R.
Coaches
Banasik D.
Ojrzynski L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Kubiak O. ⚽,
23', Kowalczyk S. 🟨,
30', Nguiamba A. 🟨,
34', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
43', Nalepa M. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Kerk S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nguiamba A. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
46', Kolan J. ↓, Radwanski A. ↑,
46', Kowalczyk S. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
48', Nalepa M. 🟨,
52', 2 - 1, Szabo L. ⚽, Regula M. (A),
66', Corluka J. ↓, Ligocki J. ↑,
66', Szabo L. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
72', Kocyla D. ↓, Szysz P. ↑,
72', Jakubczyk K. ↓, Rzuchowski M. ↑,
76', Rzuchowski M. 🟨,
78', 3 - 1, Gutkovskis V. ⚽, Szysz P. (A),
84', Regula M. ↓, Dziewiatowski M. ↑,
89', Gutkovskis V. ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
89', Kerk S. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Arka will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Arka: Gaprindashvili T.
(Yellow Cards)
Perea L.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Hladun D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Lawniczak A.
(Inactive)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Arka won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).
Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now
Zaglebie: 1.65%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Zaglebie
10
4
3
3
12:13
-1
15
Last Results with these Odds
Arka Gdynia - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.94%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Zagłębie Lubin - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 31.36%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.