Match Info

Date: 12 December 2021, Sunday


	Cracovia		Górnik Łęczna

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	5	Watch
	1.58	3.9	5.5
	1.66	3.7	5.2	Watch
	1.68	3.65	4.9
	1.72	3.79	5.41
	1.63	3.6	4.75
	1.68	3.9	5.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.61)	3.76 ↓ (3.86)	5.12 ↓ (5.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cracovia
56.6%

Draw
25%

Górnik Łęczna
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

24.2%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

14.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Górnik Łęczna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (-21.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cracovia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Górnik Łęczna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cracovia - Górnik Łęczna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Cracovia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cracovia is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Cracovia won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Cracovia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.12.21	Cracovia - Legia Warsaw	1:0 ✺
28.11.21	Wisła Płock - Cracovia	2:1 ✺
22.11.21	Cracovia - Raków Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	Wisła Kraków - Cracovia	1:0 ✺
29.10.21	Cracovia - Radomiak Radom	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWLL
- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.12.21	Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Łęczna	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
30.11.21	Korona Kielce - Górnik Łęczna	1:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
27.11.21	Górnik Łęczna - Górnik Zabrze	1:2 ✺
21.11.21	Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
06.11.21	Górnik Łęczna - Lech Poznań	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
24.07.21	Górnik Łęczna - Cracovia	1:1
16.05.17	Górnik Łęczna - Cracovia	3:0
04.12.16	Cracovia - Górnik Łęczna	1:1
31.07.16	Górnik Łęczna - Cracovia	0:0
02.04.16	Cracovia - Górnik Łęczna	0:0
30.10.15	Górnik Łęczna - Cracovia	1:0
16.05.15	Górnik Łęczna - Cracovia	0:3

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