The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Notts County 47.3%
Draw 25.7%
Crawley Town 27.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.5%
24.1%
22.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.5%
25.5%
21.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Notts County's form might have worsened.
Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Notts County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crawley Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Notts County - Crawley Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Roos K. (G) 28. Macari L. 3. McDonald R. 4. Bedeau J. 10. Jones J. 20. Robertson S. 18. Palmer M. 25. Tsaroulla N. 14. Iorpenda T. 11. Grant C. 29. Jatta A.
1. Davies H. (G) 5. Barker C. 3. Conroy D. 28. Flint J. 19. Pereira D. 10. Brown R. 4. Bajrami G. 17. Scott K. 22. Adeyemo A. 9. Tshimanga K. 13. McKirdy H.
Substitutes
23. Aljofree S. 37. Cotter B. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 17. Kouhyar Q. 16. Luker J. 8. Norburn O. . Radoja Nemanja
6. Anderson M. 24. Dixon K. 7. Forster H. 8. Holohan G. 21. Loft R. 2. Malone S.
Coaches
Paterson M.
Lindsey S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
36', McKirdy H. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Robertson S. ⚽, Palmer M. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', Barker C. 🟨,
53', Pereira D. ↓, Dixon K. ↑,
53', Brown R. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,
54', Tshimanga K. ↓, Loft R. ↑,
67', Grant C. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
67', Iorpenda T. ↓, Luker J. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Hall T. ⚽, Luker J. (A),
74', Jones J. ↓, Cotter B. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Jatta A. ⚽, Luker J. (A),
77', Adeyemo A. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
80', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 0, Hall T. ⚽, Luker J. (A),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 3.
Recent performances by Notts County have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Crawley is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Crawley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Notts County might have a minor edge in this game.
There are questionable in Notts County: Dennis M.
(Injury)
Gordon K.
(Injury)
Jarvis W.
(Injury)
Luker J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Crawley: Brown R.
(Injury)
Cashman D.
(Injury)
Watson L.
(Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:12. (average 2.6:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Crawley Town - the odds 4.2 are the expected chance of winning is 22.41%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
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Roos K. (G) 
Macari L. 
McDonald R. 
Bedeau J. 
Jones J. 
Tsaroulla N. 
Grant C. 
Jatta A. 
Pereira D. 
Bajrami G. 
Scott K. 
Kouhyar Q. 
Radoja Nemanja 
Dixon K. 
Paterson M. 
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