Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 17

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday


	Burgess Hill Town		Cray Valley Paper Mills

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.5	2.25
	2.6	3.76	2.29
	2.04	3.74	2.98	Watch
	2.55	3.45	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.02)	3.61 ↓ (3.66)	2.46 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgess Hill Town
37.4%

Draw
25.4%

Cray Valley Paper Mills
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

24.8%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

24.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgess Hill Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burgess Hill Town's form might have worsened.

Cray Valley Paper Mills has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cray Valley Paper Mills's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgess Hill Town than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgess Hill Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cray Valley Paper Mills than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cray Valley Paper Mills, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Burgess Hill Town - Cray Valley Paper Mills Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgess Hill (votes: 1 - 50%). Cray Valley PM (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Cray Valley PM (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgess Hill (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cray Valley PM (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Vorster G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Burgess Hill have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cray Valley PM has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Cray Valley PM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Burgess Hill won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgess Hill Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
08.11.25	Welling United - Burgess Hill Town	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Burgess Hill Town - Canvey Island	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Burgess Hill Town - Folkestone Invicta	1:4 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.10.25	Burgess Hill Town - Whitehawk	2:2 ✺
13.10.25	Carshalton Athletic - Burgess Hill Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLTW
- Cray Valley Paper Mills
English Isthmian League Premier Division
08.11.25	Billericay Town - Cray Valley Paper Mills	1:1 ✺
04.11.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Aveley	1:4 ✺
01.11.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Lewes	1:1 ✺
28.10.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Brentwood Town	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Sittingbourne - Cray Valley Paper Mills	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.08.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Burgess Hill Town	1:2
English FA Cup
23.09.20	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Burgess Hill Town	3:1

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