Match Info

Date: 20 April 2022, Wednesday


	Cray Wanderers		East Thurrock United

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.6	3.5
	1.8	3.45	3.45
	1.83	3.6	3.5
	1.85	4.21	3.47
	1.8	3.6	3.6
	1.81	3.92	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.82)	3.73 ↑ (3.6)	3.53 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cray Wanderers
50%

Draw
24.3%

East Thurrock United
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

25.2%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

28.2%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cray Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

East Thurrock United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cray Wanderers than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cray Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Thurrock United than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Cray Wanderers - East Thurrock United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 19).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cray won 3.

Cray has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

East Thurrock is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cray will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cray won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Cray won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cray Wanderers
English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.04.22	Enfield Town - Cray Wanderers	3:3 ✺
10.04.22	Cray Wanderers - Hornchurch	0:5 ✺
02.04.22	Leatherhead - Cray Wanderers	2:1 ✺
26.03.22	Cray Wanderers - Kingstonian	1:2 ✺
20.03.22	Cray Wanderers - Bowers & Pitsea	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLLL
- East Thurrock United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.04.22	East Thurrock United - Wingate & Finchley	2:2 ✺
09.04.22	Bognor Regis Town - East Thurrock United	1:1 ✺
02.04.22	East Thurrock United - Merstham	2:0 ✺
29.03.22	East Thurrock United - Potters Bar Town	1:0 ✺
26.03.22	Corinthian-Casuals - East Thurrock United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.01.22	East Thurrock United - Cray Wanderers	1:3
26.09.20	East Thurrock United - Cray Wanderers	1:3
22.02.20	East Thurrock United - Cray Wanderers	0:1
28.09.19	Cray Wanderers - East Thurrock United	1:1
21.09.13	East Thurrock United - Cray Wanderers	3:0
16.04.13	Cray Wanderers - East Thurrock United	2:2

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