The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SPAL 33.1%
Draw 30.5%
Chievo 36.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
31%
25.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.2%
22.8%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SPAL's form might have worsened.
Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chievo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+26.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SPAL, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (-17.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chievo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
52.8%
33.3%
13.9%
SPAL - Chievo Predictions
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 19 - 52.8%). Chievo will win (votes: 5 - 13.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for SPAL: 36.5% โ 69.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Semitofinals) and 8 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals)).
SPAL has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (52%), has a chance of promoted (41%), has a chance of win league (17%).
Chievo has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (52%), has a chance of promoted (27%), has a small chance of win league (9%).
SPAL is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Chievo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Chievo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.
Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
Watch
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