Match Info

Date: 22 December 2020, Tuesday


	Pisa		Chievo

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.25
	3.35	3.15	2.25	Watch
	3.2	3	2.26
	3.46	3.2	2.34
	3.3	3.1	2.3
	3.34	3.18	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (3.27)	3.13 ↑ (3.13)	2.26 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pisa
28.2%

Draw
30.1%

Chievo
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

30.1%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

19.9%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pisa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chievo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32%	64%	4%

Pisa - Chievo Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 8 - 32%). Chievo will win (votes: 1 - 4%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 64%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45.2% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 9).

Pisa has a chance of relegated (17%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (17%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Chievo has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (51%), has a chance of promoted (25%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Pisa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Chievo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chievo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Chievo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pisa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Pisa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
19.12.20	Lecce - Pisa	0:3 ✺
15.12.20	Pisa - Pescara	0:0 ✺
12.12.20	Pisa - Pordenone	1:0 ✺
08.12.20	Pisa - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
05.12.20	SPAL - Pisa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WTWWL
- AC Chievo
Italian Serie B
19.12.20	Chievo - Empoli	1:1 ✺
15.12.20	SPAL - Chievo	0:0 ✺
11.12.20	Chievo - Reggina	3:0 ✺
05.12.20	Frosinone - Chievo	3:2 ✺
27.11.20	Chievo - Lecce	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
09.02.20	Pisa - Chievo	1:1
21.09.19	Chievo - Pisa	2:2

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