Match Info

Serie A - Round 4

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona)

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport OTT 6
Albania	Tring Sport 1, Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cremonese		Parma

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.38	Watch
	2.98	3.15	2.52	Watch
	3.2	3.17	2.54
	3.39	3.20	2.19	Watch
	3.08	3.38	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.63)	3.24 ↑ (3.18)	2.41 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
30.6%

Draw
29.6%

Parma
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

29.9%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

30.6%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cremonese's form might have worsened.

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Parma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48%	28%	24%

Cremonese - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Cremonese will win (votes: 12 - 48%). Parma will win (votes: 6 - 24%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cremonese: 28.4% – 67.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Cremonese (2.11) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

DC - Cremonese (1.52) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Parma (votes: 3 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Audero E. (G) 24. Terracciano F. 6. Baschirotto F. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 7. Zerbin A. 18. Collocolo M. 38. Bondo W. 27. Vandeputte J. 3. Pezzella G. 20. Vazquez F. 99. Sanabria A.	31. Suzuki Z. (G) 15. Del Prato E. (C) 39. Circati A. 3. Ndiaye A. 11. Almqvist P. 16. Keita M. 10. Bernabe A. 22. Sorensen O. 14. Valeri E. 32. Cutrone P. 9. Pellegrino M.
Substitutes
4. Barbieri T. 90. Bonazzoli F. 23. Ceccherini F. 30. Faye M. 22. Floriani R. 55. Folino F. 33. Grassi A. 11. Johnsen D. 48. Lordkipanidze D. 14. Moumbagna F. 69. Nava L. (G) 16. Silvestri M. (G)	19. Begic T. 7. Benedyczak A. 27. Britschgi S. 40. Corvi E. (G) 25. Cremaschi B. 30. Djuric M. 8. Estevez N. 18. Lovik M. 24. Ordonez C. 21. Oristanio G. 65. Plicco E. 66. Rinaldi F. (G) 63. Trabucchi N. 37. Troilo M.
Coaches
Nicola D.	Cuesta C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Collocolo M. ↓, Grassi A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bianchetti M. ↓, Ceccherini F. ↑,
57', Vandeputte J. ↓, Floriani R. ↑,
66', Pezzella G. 🟨,
68', Pellegrino M. ↓, Oristanio G. ↑,
76', Zerbin A. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
76', Sanabria A. ↓, Moumbagna F. ↑,
84', Almqvist P. ↓, Lovik M. ↑,
84', Bernabe A. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
88', Cutrone P. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 3.

Cremonese has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Parma is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cremonese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Cremonese: Payero M. (Muscle Injury) Sarmiento J. (Lacking Match Fitness) Vardy J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Parma: Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ondrejka J. (Leg Injury) Valenti L. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Parma: Hernani (Ankle Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cremonese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie A
15.09.25	Verona - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Cremonese - Sassuolo	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Milan - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
16.08.25	Cremonese - Palermo	0:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Reggiana - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 TWWLT
- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
13.09.25	Cagliari - Parma	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Parma - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Juventus - Parma	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
17.08.25	Parma - Pescara	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Heidenheim - Parma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
05.05.24	Parma - Cremonese	1:1
01.10.23	Cremonese - Parma	1:2
15.02.22	Cremonese - Parma	3:1
19.09.21	Parma - Cremonese	1:2
20.01.18	Cremonese - Parma	1:0
25.08.17	Parma - Cremonese	1:0

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