Match Info

Serie A - Round 4

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona) 🌤️ ...

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport OTT 6
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1, Tring Sport 2
Argentina	10:00	Disney+
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	23:00	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Canada	09:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	10:00	Disney+
China	21:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	08:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	15:00	DAZN France
Germany	15:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	21:00	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Hungary	15:00	Net4+
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Israel	16:00	Sport 3
Italy	15:00	214 DAZN Zona, 215 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	21:00	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	07:00	Disney+
Nigeria	14:00	SuperSport OTT 6
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	16:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 2
South Korea	22:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	20:00	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	16:00	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+


	Cremonese		Parma

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.38	Watch
	2.98	3.15	2.52	Watch
	3.2	3.17	2.54
	3.39	3.20	2.19	Watch
	3.08	3.38	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.63)	3.24 ↑ (3.18)	2.41 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
30.6%

Draw
29.6%

Parma
39.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.1%

29.9%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

30.6%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cremonese's form might have worsened.

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Parma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48%	28%	24%

Cremonese - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Cremonese will win (votes: 12 - 48%). Parma will win (votes: 6 - 24%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cremonese: 28.4% – 67.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Cremonese (2.11) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

DC - Cremonese (1.52) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Parma (votes: 3 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Audero E. (G) 24. Terracciano F. 6. Baschirotto F. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 7. Zerbin A. 18. Collocolo M. 38. Bondo W. 27. Vandeputte J. 3. Pezzella G. 20. Vazquez F. 99. Sanabria A.	31. Suzuki Z. (G) 15. Del Prato E. (C) 39. Circati A. 3. Ndiaye A. 11. Almqvist P. 16. Keita M. 10. Bernabe A. 22. Sorensen O. 14. Valeri E. 32. Cutrone P. 9. Pellegrino M.
Substitutes
4. Barbieri T. 90. Bonazzoli F. 23. Ceccherini F. 30. Faye M. 22. Floriani R. 55. Folino F. 33. Grassi A. 11. Johnsen D. 48. Lordkipanidze D. 14. Moumbagna F. 69. Nava L. (G) 16. Silvestri M. (G)	19. Begic T. 7. Benedyczak A. 27. Britschgi S. 40. Corvi E. (G) 25. Cremaschi B. 30. Djuric M. 8. Estevez N. 18. Lovik M. 24. Ordonez C. 21. Oristanio G. 65. Plicco E. 66. Rinaldi F. (G) 63. Trabucchi N. 37. Troilo M.
Coaches
Nicola D.	Cuesta C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Collocolo M. ↓, Grassi A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bianchetti M. ↓, Ceccherini F. ↑,
57', Vandeputte J. ↓, Floriani R. ↑,
66', Pezzella G. 🟨,
68', Pellegrino M. ↓, Oristanio G. ↑,
76', Zerbin A. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
76', Sanabria A. ↓, Moumbagna F. ↑,
84', Almqvist P. ↓, Lovik M. ↑,
84', Bernabe A. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
88', Cutrone P. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 3.

Cremonese has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Parma is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cremonese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Cremonese: Payero M. (Muscle Injury) Sarmiento J. (Lacking Match Fitness) Vardy J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Parma: Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ondrejka J. (Leg Injury) Valenti L. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Parma: Hernani (Ankle Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cremonese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie A
15.09.25	Verona - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Cremonese - Sassuolo	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Milan - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
16.08.25	Cremonese - Palermo	0:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Reggiana - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 TWWLT
- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
13.09.25	Cagliari - Parma	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Parma - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Juventus - Parma	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
17.08.25	Parma - Pescara	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Heidenheim - Parma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
05.05.24	Parma - Cremonese	1:1
01.10.23	Cremonese - Parma	1:2
15.02.22	Cremonese - Parma	3:1
19.09.21	Parma - Cremonese	1:2
20.01.18	Cremonese - Parma	1:0
25.08.17	Parma - Cremonese	1:0

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