Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 25

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona)

Referee: Prontera A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Cremonese		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.9	4.5	Watch
	1.68	3.7	5
	1.67	3.4	4.8	Watch
	1.72	3.73	5.45
	1.7	3.64	5.32	Watch
	1.7	3.3	5.5
	1.71	3.6	5.3	Watch
	1.67	3.4	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.71)	3.58 ↑ (3.42)	5.08 ↓ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
55.4%

Draw
26.2%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

27.2%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

27.1%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Cremonese - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Cremonese will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Südtirol will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cremonese: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fulignati A. (G) 55. Folino F. 5. Ravanelli L. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 18. Collocolo M. 6. Pickel C. 19. Castagnetti M. 27. Vandeputte J. 7. Azzi P. 99. Nasti M. 20. Vazquez F.	31. Adamonis M. (G) 30. Giorgini A. 19. Pietrangeli N. 34. Veseli F. 79. Molina S. 18. Pyyhtia N. 99. Praszelik M. 17. Casiraghi D. (C) 24. Davi S. 33. Merkaj S. 90. Odogwu R.
Substitutes
4. Barbieri T. 90. Bonazzoli F. 9. De Luca M. 12. Drago G. (G) 11. Johnsen D. 37. Majer Z. 22. Malovec A. (G) 42. Moretti L. 25. Triacca D. 8. Valoti M. 98. Zanimacchia L.	4. Arrigoni T. 3. Barreca A. 23. Ceppitelli L. 14. Davi F. 2. El Kaouakibi H. 9. Gori G. 28. Kofler R. 16. Lamanna E. (G) 8. Mallamo A. 6. Martini J. 7. Rover M. 63. Vergani E.
Coaches
Stroppa G.	Castori F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Vandeputte J. ⚽, Collocolo M. (A),
38', Veseli F. 🟨,
41', Collocolo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Pyyhtia N. ↓, El Kaouakibi H. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Davi S. ⚽, Merkaj S. (A),
67', Nasti M. ↓, De Luca M. ↑,
67', Pickel C. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, De Luca M. ⚽, Johnsen D. (A),
81', Davi S. ↓, Barreca A. ↑,
81', Merkaj S. ↓, Gori G. ↑,
81', Praszelik M. ↓, Kofler R. ↑,
81', Vandeputte J. ↓, Barbieri T. ↑,
82', Vazquez F. ↓, Valoti M. ↑,
86', Folino F. 🟨,
89', Casiraghi D. ↓, Rover M. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, De Luca M. ⚽, Barbieri T. (A),

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Cremonese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cremonese is a favorite.

There will not play in Cremonese: Antov V. (Yellow Cards) Barbieri T. (Injury) Ceccherini F. (Injury)

There will not play in Südtirol: Zedadka K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Südtirol: Masiello A. (Injury) Tait F. (Thigh Injury) Vimercati A. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17:20 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Cremonese won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.5:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
02.02.25	Salernitana - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Cremonese - Modena	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Cremonese - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
12.01.25	Frosinone - Cremonese	0:3 ✺
29.12.24	Cremonese - Brescia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWWT
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
02.02.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Reggiana	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	Frosinone - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:3 ✺
19.01.25	Sassuolo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	5:3 ✺
12.01.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Catanzaro	1:1 ✺
29.12.24	Modena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
30.11.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cremonese	0:4
16.03.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cremonese	3:0
21.10.23	Cremonese - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1
Italian Serie C Group A
09.04.16	Cremonese - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1
29.11.15	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cremonese	1:1
07.02.15	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cremonese	3:1
20.09.14	Cremonese - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:2

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