Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 24

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Arechi (Salerno) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	15:00	DAZN Italia


	Salernitana		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	3	3.25	2.4	Watch
	3	2.95	2.45
	3	3	2.45	Watch
	3.26	3.08	2.49
	3.18	3.05	2.45	Watch
	3.25	3	2.3
	3.16	3.04	2.46	Watch
	3	3	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.2)	3.05 ↓ (3.22)	2.43 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
30.3%

Draw
30.9%

Cremonese
38.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.5%

29.2%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

29%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.5%	19.2%	69.2%

Salernitana - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Cremonese will win (votes: 18 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cremonese: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Christensen O. (G) 15. Bronn D. 33. Ferrari G. M. 47. Lochoshvili L. 29. Ghiglione P. 30. Stojanovic P. 73. Amatucci L. 7. Tongya F. 17. Njoh L. 99. Raimondo A. 90. Cerri A.	1. Fulignati A. (G) 26. Antov V. 5. Ravanelli L. 15. Bianchetti M. 18. Collocolo M. 20. Vazquez F. 37. Majer Z. 27. Vandeputte J. 98. Zanimacchia L. 7. Azzi P. 9. De Luca M.
Substitutes
24. Braaf J. 16. Corazza T. 2. Gentile D. 72. Girelli S. 8. Hrustic A. 44. Jaroszynski P. 25. Maggiore G. 13. Ruggeri F. . Sepe L. (G) 21. Soriano R. 31. Verde D. 20. Wlodarczyk S.	90. Bonazzoli F. 19. Castagnetti M. 12. Drago G. (G) 55. Folino F. 11. Johnsen D. 62. Milanese T. 42. Moretti L. 99. Nasti M. 21. Saro G. (G) 25. Triacca D.
Coaches
Breda R.	Stroppa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Majer Z. 🟨,
10', Lochoshvili L. 🟨,
18', Collocolo M. 🟨,
35', Ghiglione P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ghiglione P. ↓, Soriano R. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Raimondo A. ⚽,
59', Lochoshvili L. ↓, Ruggeri F. ↑,
65', Soriano R. 🟨,
67', Antov V. 🟨,
71', De Luca M. ↓, Nasti M. ↑,
71', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
71', Collocolo M. ↓, Bonazzoli F. ↑,
73', Raimondo A. ↓, Verde D. ↑,
82', Majer Z. ↓, Castagnetti M. ↑,
84', Stojanovic P. ↓, Gentile D. ↑,
85', Tongya F. ↓, Hrustic A. ↑,
90', Azzi P. 🟨,
90', Cerri A. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 2.

Salernitana is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cremonese is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cremonese will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Salernitana: Maggiore G. (Injury)

There will not play in Cremonese: Castagnetti M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cremonese: Moretti L. (Muscle Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:7 (average 2:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Cremonese - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 41.3%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
26.01.25	Pisa - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Salernitana - Reggiana	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Salernitana - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
29.12.24	Catanzaro - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Frosinone - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
26.01.25	Cremonese - Modena	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Cremonese - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
12.01.25	Frosinone - Cremonese	0:3 ✺
29.12.24	Cremonese - Brescia	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Cesena - Cremonese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.10.24	Cremonese - Salernitana	2:1
Italian Serie A
03.06.23	Cremonese - Salernitana	2:0
05.11.22	Salernitana - Cremonese	2:2
Italian Serie B
06.03.21	Cremonese - Salernitana	0:1
23.11.20	Salernitana - Cremonese	2:1
29.06.20	Salernitana - Cremonese	3:3
10.11.19	Cremonese - Salernitana	1:0

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