Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 21

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)

Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Frosinone		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.9	2.35	Watch
	3.25	2.9	2.37
	3.25	2.9	2.4	Watch
	3.39	3.07	2.29	Watch
	3.25	2.9	2.4
	3.34	3.02	2.37	Watch
	3.25	2.9	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (3.31)	2.94 ↓ (3.19)	2.37 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frosinone
28.5%

Draw
31.9%

Cremonese
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

29.5%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

29.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Frosinone have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	55.6%	27.8%

Frosinone - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Frosinone will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Cremonese will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cerofolini M. (G) 4. Biraschi D. 30. Monterisi I. 47. Mateus Lusuardi 21. Oyono J. 14. Gelli F. (C) 55. Darboe E. 11. Begic T. 20. Oyono A. 74. Tsadjout F. 70. Partipilo A.	1. Fulignati A. (G) 26. Antov V. 23. Ceccherini F. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 18. Collocolo M. 6. Pickel C. 19. Castagnetti M. 27. Vandeputte J. 4. Barbieri T. 90. Bonazzoli F. 20. Vazquez F.
Substitutes
10. Ambrosino G. 18. Bettella D. 79. Bracaglia G. 27. Canotto L. 64. Cichella M. 16. Garritano L. 7. Ghedjemis F. 17. Kvernadze G. 90. Pecorino E. 13. Sorrentino A. (G) 25. Szyminski P. 8. Vural I.	9. De Luca M. 11. Johnsen D. 22. Jungdal A. (G) 37. Majer Z. 62. Milanese T. 99. Nasti M. 3. Quagliata G. 5. Ravanelli L. 21. Saro G. (G) 17. Sernicola L. 25. Triacca D. 98. Zanimacchia L.
Coaches
Greco L.	Stroppa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', Tsadjout F. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Ceccherini F. ⚽, Vandeputte J. (A),
33', Vandeputte J. 🟨,
43', Ceccherini F. 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 2, Bonazzoli F. ⚽, Vandeputte J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Begic T. ↓, Kvernadze G. ↑,
56', Partipilo A. 🟨,
57', Oyono A. ↓, Ambrosino G. ↑,
57', Tsadjout F. ↓, Pecorino E. ↑,
57', Vandeputte J. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
57', Ceccherini F. ↓, Ravanelli L. ↑,
59', 0 - 3, Collocolo M. ⚽, Barbieri T. (A),
68', Vazquez F. ↓, Milanese T. ↑,
71', Partipilo A. ↓, Bracaglia G. ↑,
79', Bonazzoli F. ↓, Nasti M. ↑,
79', Castagnetti M. ↓, Majer Z. ↑,
79', Darboe E. ↓, Vural I. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Frosinone won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Cremonese will have a small advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Frosinone: Cittadini G. (Knee Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Frosinone won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:12 (average 0.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Frosinone won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.8:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Cremonese - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.98%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
29.12.24	Juve Stabia - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Frosinone - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
21.12.24	Mantova - Frosinone	3:1 ✺
14.12.24	Frosinone - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
07.12.24	Nuova Cosenza - Frosinone	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWLLW
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
29.12.24	Cremonese - Brescia	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Cesena - Cremonese	0:1 ✺
22.12.24	Cremonese - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Cittadella - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Cremonese - Reggiana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
24.11.24	Cremonese - Frosinone	1:0
09.04.22	Frosinone - Cremonese	2:1
30.11.21	Cremonese - Frosinone	1:1
27.02.21	Cremonese - Frosinone	4:0
01.11.20	Frosinone - Cremonese	1:0
07.03.20	Frosinone - Cremonese	0:2
27.10.19	Cremonese - Frosinone	1:1

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