The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crewe Alexandra 48.8%
Draw 26.5%
Tranmere Rovers 24.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.4%
27%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
25.8%
25.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
12.5%
12.5%
Crewe Alexandra - Tranmere Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Tranmere will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 45% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Lawlor I. (G) 2. Billington L. 5. Demetriou M. (C) 25. Pond A. 3. Hutchinson R. 23. Powell J. 17. Holicek M. 26. O'Reilly T. 20. Agius C. 24. March J. 29. Thibaut A.
33. Marosi M. (G) 16. Lowe J. 5. Smith N. 28. Negru S. 26. Plant J. 8. Finley S. (C) 25. Warrington L. 30. McGowan A. 32. Obiero Z. 11. Patrick O. 29. Ironside J.
Substitutes
9. Bogle O. 1. Booth T. (G) 18. Connolly J. 14. Finney C. 7. Lankester J. 32. Moore L. 8. Thomas C.
12. Barrett J. (G) 3. Brough P. 31. Dickov M. 42. Kenneh N. 2. Norman C. 17. Solomon S.
Coaches
Bell L.
Crosby A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Plant J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Thibaut A. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
51', Finley S. 🟨,
61', Plant J. ↓, Norman C. ↑,
70', Powell J. ↓, Thomas C. ↑,
70', Finley S. ↓, Kenneh N. ↑,
76', Agius C. ↓, Lankester J. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Thomas C. ⚽, O'Reilly T. (A),
78', McGowan A. ↓, Brough P. ↑,
79', Ironside J. ↓, Dickov M. ↑,
90', Obiero Z. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, March J. ⚽, O'Reilly T. (A),
90+2', March J. 🟨,
90+2', O'Reilly T. ↓, Connolly J. ↑,
90+5', Warrington L. 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 3.
Crewe is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tranmere is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Crewe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Crewe: Lankester J.
(Knee Injury)
Sanders M. H.
(Inactive)
Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tezgel E.
(Ankle Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
There will not play in Tranmere: Jennings C.
(Inactive)
McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
O'Connor L.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Tranmere: Jones D.
(Inactive)
Joseph J.
(Inactive)
Tamen W.
(Inactive)
Turnbull J.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Crewe: 3.91% Tranmere: 0.81%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Crewe
10
4
6
0
12:7
5
18
13
Tranmere
10
2
6
2
13:13
0
12
Last Results with these Odds
Tranmere Rovers - the odds 3.47 are the expected chance of winning is 26.61%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
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Lawlor I. (G) 
Billington L. 
Holicek M. 
Agius C. 
Obiero Z. 
Kenneh N. 
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