Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - Qualification - Final

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday


	Leiston		Dagenham & Redbridge

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.1	1.5
	5.75	4.1	1.44
	6	4.33	1.47
	5.4	4.77	1.54
	5.61	4.38	1.52	Watch
	4.8	4	1.53
	5.69	4.25	1.49	Watch
	6	4.33	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.59 ↑ (4.79)	4.28 ↑ (4)	1.5 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
16.5%

Draw
21.6%

Dagenham & Redbridge
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

22.6%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

22.1%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Dagenham & Redbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dagenham & Redbridge than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Leiston - Dagenham & Redbridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Umerah J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
65', 1 - 1, Curtis H. ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, Umerah J. ⚽,
73', 1 - 3, Rees J. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 4, Hill R. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 5, Remy S. ⚽,

Preview

Replayed if draw.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Dagenham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dagenham is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Leiston - Horsham	1:2 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
01.10.24	Hornchurch - Leiston	1:3 ET ✺
28.09.24	Leiston - Hornchurch	1:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
24.09.24	Bedford Town - Leiston	4:3 ✺
21.09.24	Barwell - Leiston	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWTLT
- Dagenham & Redbridge
English National League
05.10.24	Yeovil Town - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Solihull Moors	1:1 ✺
24.09.24	Altrincham - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Hartlepool United - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Gateshead	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTLWW

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