Match Info

Date: 14 November 2020, Saturday


	Crewe Alexandra		Peterborough United

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	2.2
	3.2	3.4	2.15
	3.25	3.5	2.15
	3.1	3.35	2.19
	3.25	3.63	2.25
	3.2	3.3	2.15
	3.45	3.5	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.56)	3.45 ↑ (3.35)	2.19 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crewe Alexandra
29.3%

Draw
27.4%

Peterborough United
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

28.2%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

21.8%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crewe Alexandra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peterborough United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	2.9%	82.9%

Crewe Alexandra - Peterborough United Predictions

Users Predictions: Peterborough United will win (29 of 35 users predict this - 82.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.37% – 95.35%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Championship).

Crewe has a chance of relegated (30%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Peterborough has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (41%), has a chance of promoted (50%), has a chance of win league (22%).

Crewe is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Peterborough is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Peterborough will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Crewe won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crewe Alexandra
English EFL Trophy
10.11.20	Crewe Alexandra - Shrewsbury Town	3:4 ✺
English FA Cup
07.11.20	Bolton Wanderers - Crewe Alexandra	2:3 ✺
English League One
03.11.20	Crewe Alexandra - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
31.10.20	Ipswich Town - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 ✺
27.10.20	Crewe Alexandra - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLL
- Peterborough United
English EFL Trophy
10.11.20	Cambridge United - Peterborough United	2:1 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
07.11.20	Oxford United - Peterborough United	1:2 ✺
English League One
03.11.20	Bristol Rovers - Peterborough United	0:2 ✺
31.10.20	Peterborough United - Shrewsbury Town	5:1 ✺
27.10.20	Peterborough United - Burton Albion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
02.04.16	Peterborough United - Crewe Alexandra	3:0
21.11.15	Crewe Alexandra - Peterborough United	1:5
14.04.15	Peterborough United - Crewe Alexandra	1:1
21.10.14	Crewe Alexandra - Peterborough United	1:0
08.03.14	Peterborough United - Crewe Alexandra	4:2
07.09.13	Crewe Alexandra - Peterborough United	2:2

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