Match Info

Date: 30 August 2022, Tuesday

Location: University of Bolton Stadium (Bolton)


	Bolton Wanderers		Crewe Alexandra

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.5	8.75
	1.33	5.2	6.4
	1.25	5.4	8.8
	1.27	5.91	10.22
	1.25	5.4	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.77)	5.48 ↑ (3.4)	8.67 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolton Wanderers
72.6%

Draw
16.8%

Crewe Alexandra
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

26.9%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

26.5%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bolton Wanderers's performance.

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crewe Alexandra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-20.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bolton Wanderers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crewe Alexandra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	11.8%	11.8%

Bolton Wanderers - Crewe Alexandra Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Crewe will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bolton won 3.

Bolton is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Crewe is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crewe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bolton is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bolton won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolton Wanderers
English League One
27.08.22	Plymouth Argyle - Bolton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
23.08.22	Bolton Wanderers - Aston Villa	1:4 ✺
English League One
20.08.22	Bolton Wanderers - Sheffield Wednesday	0:2 ✺
16.08.22	Bolton Wanderers - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
13.08.22	Port Vale - Bolton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWT
- Crewe Alexandra
English League Two
27.08.22	Bradford City - Crewe Alexandra	0:0 ✺
20.08.22	Crewe Alexandra - Northampton Town	2:2 ✺
16.08.22	Crewe Alexandra - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
13.08.22	Salford City - Crewe Alexandra	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.22	Grimsby Town - Crewe Alexandra	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
19.03.22	Crewe Alexandra - Bolton Wanderers	0:1
12.11.21	Bolton Wanderers - Crewe Alexandra	2:0
English FA Cup
07.11.20	Bolton Wanderers - Crewe Alexandra	2:3
English EFL Trophy
08.09.20	Bolton Wanderers - Crewe Alexandra	2:3
English League Cup
09.08.17	Crewe Alexandra - Bolton Wanderers	1:2
26.08.14	Crewe Alexandra - Bolton Wanderers	2:3 ET
Club Friendly
28.07.12	Crewe Alexandra - Bolton Wanderers	N/A

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