Match Info

League Two - Round 32

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Alexandra Stadium (Crewe)

Referee: Coy M. (Eng)


	Crewe Alexandra		Gillingham

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.48	3.25	2.78	Watch
	2.54	3.38	2.82
	2.45	3.24	2.83	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.75
	2.47	3.23	2.82	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.51)	3.24 ↓ (3.26)	2.8 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crewe Alexandra
37.9%

Draw
28.8%

Gillingham
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

28.3%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.1%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Crewe Alexandra - Gillingham Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Gillingham will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Lawlor I. (G) 2. Billington L. 25. Pond A. 5. Demetriou M. (C) 3. Hutchinson R. 23. Powell J. 8. Thomas C. 26. O'Reilly T. 17. Holicek M. 20. Agius C. 24. March J.	1. Morris G. (G) 2. Hutton R. 39. Beckles O. 15. Akomeah T. 3. Clark M. 6. Coleman E. 8. Little A. (C) 7. McCleary G. 14. McKenzie R. 38. Hale R. 19. Vokes S.
Substitutes
9. Bogle O. 1. Booth T. (G) 18. Connolly J. 14. Finney C. 19. Lunt O. 32. Moore L. 29. Thibaut A.	9. Andrews J. 36. Antwi C. 23. Dack B. 30. Gale S. 12. Palmer-Houlden S. 5. Smith A. 25. Turner J. (G)
Coaches
Bell L.	Ainsworth G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Thomas C. ↓, Lunt O. ↑,
57', March J. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
57', Powell J. ↓, Connolly J. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Thibaut A. ⚽, Demetriou M. (A),
69', Vokes S. ↓, Andrews J. ↑,
70', Coleman E. ↓, Dack B. ↑,
78', Little A. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,
78', McCleary G. ↓, Palmer-Houlden S. ↑,
81', O'Reilly T. ↓, Moore L. ↑,
90', Holicek M. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
90+5', McKenzie R. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Crewe has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Crewe: Lankester J. (Knee Injury) Sanders M. H. (Inactive) Tabiner J. (Knee Injury) Tezgel E. (Ankle Injury) Tracey S. (Broken Leg)

There will not play in Gillingham: Khumbeni N. (Inactive) Masterson C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Crewe: Bogle O. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Gillingham: Smith J. (Injury) Wyllie M. (Inactive)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.3:0.9).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Crewe: 3.91% Gillingham: 2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Crewe	10	4	6	0	12:7	5	18
4	Gillingham	10	4	4	2	15:10	5	16

Last Results with these Odds

Crewe Alexandra - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.79%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Gillingham - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.87%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crewe Alexandra
English League Two
07.02.26	Crawley Town - Crewe Alexandra	0:1 ✺
03.02.26	Barnet - Crewe Alexandra	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Crewe Alexandra - Colchester United	1:0 ✺
27.01.26	Bromley - Crewe Alexandra	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Notts County - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTWTL
- Gillingham FC
English League Two
07.02.26	Gillingham - Tranmere Rovers	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Notts County - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Gillingham - Bromley	1:4 ✺
24.01.26	Harrogate Town - Gillingham	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	Gillingham - Newport County	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
23.08.25	Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra	1:0
15.02.25	Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra	0:0
05.10.24	Crewe Alexandra - Gillingham	2:0
29.03.24	Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra	0:0
03.10.23	Crewe Alexandra - Gillingham	2:0
21.03.23	Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra	2:1
08.10.22	Crewe Alexandra - Gillingham	1:1

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