Match Info
Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday
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Peterborough United |
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Burton Albion |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Peterborough United
33% | Draw
27.3% | Burton Albion
39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peterborough United's form might have worsened.Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burton Albion's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peterborough United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burton Albion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 16 and 18).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 3.Peterborough has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).Burton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Burton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:20. (average 2:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.9:1.1).
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Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 16 | Peterborough | 42 | 15 | 6 | 21 | 61:61 | 0 | 51 |
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| 18 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Peterborough United - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.64%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Burton Albion - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.42%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English League One | | | 18.10.25 | Burton Albion - Peterborough United | 0:1 | | 01.01.25 | Burton Albion - Peterborough United | 2:2 | | 04.12.24 | Peterborough United - Burton Albion | 0:1 | | 09.03.24 | Burton Albion - Peterborough United | 1:3 | | 25.11.23 | Peterborough United - Burton Albion | 4:0 | | 14.03.23 | Burton Albion - Peterborough United | 2:5 | | 08.10.22 | Peterborough United - Burton Albion | 1:1 |
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