Match Info

Date: 11 December 2021, Saturday


	Crewe Alexandra		Sheffield Wednesday

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.75	1.8
	4	3.6	1.83
	4.35	3.8	1.8
	4.2	3.5	1.79
	4.52	3.88	1.79
	4.2	3.5	1.83
	4.6	3.82	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↑ (3.83)	3.69 ↑ (3.51)	1.81 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crewe Alexandra
21.7%

Draw
25.7%

Sheffield Wednesday
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

27.3%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

21.5%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sheffield Wednesday could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Crewe Alexandra - Sheffield Wednesday Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).

Crewe has the most likely position - 24 (23.32%), has project points - 40, has currently - 15, has a good chance of relegated (72%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sheff Wed has the most likely position - 5 (12.15%), has project points - 78, has currently - 34, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (46%), has a chance of promoted (27%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Sheff Wed is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crewe Alexandra
English League One
07.12.21	Crewe Alexandra - Lincoln City	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
01.12.21	Crewe Alexandra - Doncaster Rovers	2:0 ✺
English League One
28.11.21	Ipswich Town - Crewe Alexandra	2:1 ✺
23.11.21	AFC Wimbledon - Crewe Alexandra	3:2 ✺
20.11.21	Crewe Alexandra - Gillingham	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLLW
- Sheffield Wednesday
English League One
07.12.21	Portsmouth - Sheffield Wednesday	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
01.12.21	Sheffield Wednesday - Hartlepool United	0:3 ✺
English League One
27.11.21	Sheffield Wednesday - Wycombe Wanderers	2:2 ✺
23.11.21	Sheffield Wednesday - Milton Keynes Dons	2:1 ✺
20.11.21	Accrington Stanley - Sheffield Wednesday	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLTWW

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