Match Info

Serie B - Round 33

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Vollkopf P. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	19:30	Disney+


	Criciúma		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.75	12.00	Watch
	1.31	4.80	8.75
	1.33	4.90	9.00
	1.31	5.53	13.23
	1.32	4.78	10
	1.29	5.15	11.00
	1.28	4.90	10.50	Watch
	1.30	4.90	9.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.42)	4.96 ↑ (4.35)	10.49 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
72.1%

Draw
18.9%

América Mineiro
9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66%

21.5%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

20.3%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Criciúma's performance.

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Criciúma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Criciúma - América Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Criciúma (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Airton (G) 37. Cesar Martins 97. Willean Lepo 4. Luciano Castan 13. Waguininho 14. Ronald Lopes 8. Gui Lobo 22. Marcelo Hermes 10. Jhonata Robert 9. Nicolas 7. Fellipe Mateus (C)	91. Bruno Brigido (G) 4. Rafa Barcelos 45. Ricardo Silva 3. Sosa L. 25. Ostchega T. 88. Gustavo Barreto 93. Jorge Jimenez 20. Paulo Victor 77. Segovia M. 30. Montes L. 9. Willian Bigode (C)
Substitutes
34. Bruno Alves 77. Diego Goncalves 5. Eduardo 31. Hiago Alves 41. Jean Irmer 6. Marcinho 91. Otero R. 70. Pedro Santos (G) 11. Romarinho 43. Ruan Carvalho 50. Thiaguinho 33. Yuri Tanque	27. Cassio Meneses (G) 71. Cristian 5. Elizari F. 8. Felipe Amaral 32. Filipe Dahora 7. Guilherme Parede 37. Julio Cesar 99. Marcelo Macola 55. Otavio Goncalves 19. William (G)
Coaches
Umberto Louzer	Junior M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Rafa Barcelos 🟨,
17', Montes L. 🟨,
41', Marcelo Hermes 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Waguininho ↓, Otero R. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Cesar Martins ⚽, Otero R. (A),
58', Montes L. ↓, Guilherme Parede ↑,
70', Gui Lobo ↓, Jean Irmer ↑,
70', Jhonata Robert 🟨,
76', Jhonata Robert ↓, Diego Goncalves ↑,
76', Nicolas ↓, Yuri Tanque ↑,
77', Paulo Victor ↓, Elizari F. ↑,
84', Fellipe Mateus ↓, Eduardo ↑,
87', Eduardo 🟨,
89', Segovia M. ↓, Julio Cesar ↑,
89', Jorge Jimenez ↓, Otavio Goncalves ↑,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Playoffs - Final) and 19th in the Relegation - Serie C (First stage: )).

América MG is Relegated to Serie C (First stage ).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 3.

In recent outings, Criciúma has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

América MG is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Criciúma could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Criciúma as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Criciúma has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:18 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Criciúma against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:10 goals (averaging 1.3:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Criciuma	35	17	8	10	36:30	6	59
19	America MG ✔	35	6	5	24	23:54	-31	23

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Criciuma: 1.33%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
08.10.26	Ceará - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
02.10.26	Londrina - Criciúma	0:2 ✺
27.09.26	Criciúma - Avaí	3:0 ✺
22.09.26	Criciúma - Operário Ferroviario	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Atlético Goianiense - Criciúma	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLL
- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B
07.10.26	América Mineiro - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Atlético Goianiense - América Mineiro	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	América Mineiro - Juventude	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	Vila Nova - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
14.09.26	América Mineiro - São Bernardo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
23.06.26	América Mineiro - Criciúma	0:1
12.10.25	Criciúma - América Mineiro	2:1
20.06.25	América Mineiro - Criciúma	1:1
Copa do Brasil
09.06.21	Criciúma - América Mineiro	3:2 penalties
02.06.21	América Mineiro - Criciúma	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
10.09.19	América Mineiro - Criciúma	2:1
11.05.19	Criciúma - América Mineiro	0:0

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