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Current Win Probability
Criciúma 65.6%
Draw 22%
América Mineiro 12.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66%
21.5%
12.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.7%
15.5%
17.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-17.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Criciúma that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Criciúma - América Mineiro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Playoffs - Final) and 19th in the Relegation - Serie C (First stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 3.
In recent outings, Criciúma has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
América MG has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
América MG may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Criciúma enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Criciúma has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:18 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Criciúma against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:10 goals (averaging 1.3:1.7 per game).
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