Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 7

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Criciúma		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.8	Watch
	2	3	3.6
	1.78	3.4	4.7
	2	3.29	4.63
	1.81	3.3	4.74	Watch
	1.91	3.25	4
	1.82	3.42	4.56	Watch
	1.78	3.4	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.68)	3.27 ↓ (3.4)	4.34 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
49.5%

Draw
28.8%

Volta Redonda
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

26.8%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

26%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Criciúma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Criciúma - Volta Redonda Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Volta Redonda will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Volta Redonda (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Criciúma (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Volta Redonda (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Criciúma (votes: 2 - 50%). Volta Redonda (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kaua Moroso (G) 14. Benevenuto 200. Rodrigo (C) 4. Luciano Castan 6. Marcinho 5. Matheus Trindade 40. Everton Morelli 50. Juninho 22. Marcelo Hermes 21. Joao Carlos 45. Werik Popo	12. Jean Drosny (G) 3. Gabriel Pinheiro 4. Fabricio 26. Gabriel Bahia 2. Wellington Silva (C) 20. Pierre 8. Robinho 30. Rai 6. Sanchez 27. Mirandinha 9. Bruno Santos
Substitutes
1. Alisson (G) 77. Diego Goncalves 25. Guilherme Lobo 36. Heitor Roca 10. Jhonata Robert 23. Leo Alaba 88. Luiz Henrique 9. Neto Pessoa 34. Otusanya O. 99. Sassa 2. Yan Souto 35. Ze Gabriel	28. Andre Luiz 1. Avelino (G) 21. Henrique Silva 29. Hyuri 13. Jhonny 22. Juninho Monteiro 15. Lucas Adell 25. Lucas Tocantins 7. Luciano Naninho 18. Matheus Costa
Coaches
Eduardo Baptista	Rogerio Correa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Everton Morelli 🟨,
25', Wellington Silva 🟨,
33', Rai 🟨,
43', Juninho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Juninho ↓, Diego Goncalves ↑,
66', Mirandinha ↓, Lucas Tocantins ↑,
66', Werik Popo ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
66', Wellington Silva ↓, Jhonny ↑,
76', Joao Carlos ↓, Jhonata Robert ↑,
76', Matheus Trindade ↓, Ze Gabriel ↑,
77', Rai ↓, Matheus Costa ↑,
78', Sassa 🟨,
78', Gabriel Bahia 🟨,
83', Lucas Tocantins 🟨,
85', Luciano Castan 🟨,
85', Pierre 🟨,
86', Marcinho ↓, Leo Alaba ↑,
86', Bruno Santos ↓, Luciano Naninho ↑,
86', Pierre ↓, Andre Luiz ↑,
89', Fabricio 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ))

Recent performances by Criciúma have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Volta Redonda has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Criciúma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Criciúma is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Criciúma: Fellipe Mateus (Inactive)

There will not play in Volta Redonda: Bruno Barra (Inactive) MV (Inactive) Matheus Costa (Inactive)

There are questionable in Criciúma: Caique (Inactive) Jonathan (Injury)

There are questionable in Volta Redonda: Juninho Monteiro (Inactive) PK (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Criciúma won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
04.05.25	Chapecoense - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.05.25	Criciúma - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
25.04.25	Criciúma - Remo	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Criciúma - Athletic Club	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTTW
- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie B
03.05.25	Volta Redonda - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Athletic Club - Volta Redonda	2:1 ✺
22.04.25	Volta Redonda - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
17.04.25	CRB Maceio - Volta Redonda	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Volta Redonda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
07.11.20	Volta Redonda - Criciúma	0:0
06.09.20	Criciúma - Volta Redonda	1:1

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