Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Criciúma		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.25
	3	2.95	2.25
	3.3	3.05	2.28
	3.39	3.09	2.31
	3.3	3.03	2.32	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.38
	3.57	3.13	2.21
	3.3	3.05	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.63)	3.04 ↓ (3.27)	2.29 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
28.4%

Draw
30.8%

Red Bull Bragantino
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

28.4%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

28.8%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Criciúma's form might have worsened.

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Criciúma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Criciúma - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 1 - 25%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kaua Moroso (G) 6. Marcinho 3. Rodrigo (C) 4. Luciano Castan 22. Marcelo Hermes 5. Matheus Trindade 40. Everton Morelli 50. Juninho 21. Joao Carlos 9. Neto Pessoa 77. Diego Goncalves	1. Cleiton (C) 34. Hurtado A. 14. Pedro Henrique 2. Rodriguez G. 29. Juninho Capixaba 6. Gabriel 7. Eric Ramires 10. Jhon Jhon 21. Lucas Barbosa 8. Eduardo Sasha 17. Vinicinho
Substitutes
1. Alisson (G) 14. Benevenuto 25. Guilherme Lobo 36. Heitor Roca 8. Hudson 10. Jhonata Robert 23. Leo Alaba 88. Luiz Henrique 34. Otusanya O. 99. Sassa 2. Yan Souto 35. Ze Gabriel	59. Athyrson 18. Borbas T. 39. Douglas Mendes 3. Eduardo Santos 5. Fabinho 37. Fabricio (G) 22. Gustavo Neves 33. Laquintana I. 57. Marcelinho 35. Matheus Fernandes 9. Pitta I. 32. Sant'Anna A.
Coaches
Ze Ricardo	Fernando Seabra

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Vinicinho 🟨,
52', Neto Pessoa 🟨,
54', Eric Ramires ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
54', 1 - 0, Matheus Trindade ⚽,
62', Everton Morelli 🟨,
74', Joao Carlos 🟨,
74', Joao Carlos ↓, Otusanya O. ↑,
77', Hurtado A. ↓, Sant'Anna A. ↑,
78', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
78', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Laquintana I. ↑,
88', Jhon Jhon ↓, Gustavo Neves ↑,
90+1', Juninho ↓, Guilherme Lobo ↑,
90+5', Marcinho 🟨,

Preview

1st leg./

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 1.

In recent matches, Criciúma has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

RB Bragantino is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Criciúma could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15 (average 1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams, Criciúma won 3 matches, drew 1 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
25.04.25	Criciúma - Remo	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Criciúma - Athletic Club	4:0 ✺
10.04.25	Athletico Paranaense - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	Criciúma - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTWLL
- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
27.04.25	Santos - Red Bull Bragantino	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Cruzeiro	1:0 ✺
16.04.25	Sport Recife - Red Bull Bragantino	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Fluminense - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
08.12.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Criciúma	5:1
28.08.24	Criciúma - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
15.11.19	Red Bull Bragantino - Criciúma	1:1
19.08.19	Criciúma - Red Bull Bragantino	0:2
10.10.16	Red Bull Bragantino - Criciúma	2:0
24.06.16	Criciúma - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1
06.10.15	Red Bull Bragantino - Criciúma	2:0

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