Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 31

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)

Referee: Klein R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	MEGOGO
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol
Peru	L1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
Spain	Gol Stadium
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
World	El Canal del Futbol app, Fanatiz, Sport 1 Baltic


	Criciúma		São Paulo

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.38	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.35
	3.2	3	2.4	Watch
	3.33	3.12	2.44
	3.25	3.09	2.39	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.45
	3.24	3.1	2.38	Watch
	3.2	3	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.87)	3.09 ↓ (3.19)	2.4 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
29.8%

Draw
30.7%

São Paulo
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

29.7%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

29.4%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	23.1%	15.4%

Criciúma - São Paulo Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). São Paulo will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Criciúma: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gustavo (G) 27. Claudinho 3. Rodrigo (C) 29. Figueiredo T. 14. Trauco M. 8. Newton 88. Gustavo Barreto 22. Marcelo Hermes 17. Matheusinho 11. Bolasie Y. 9. Felipe Vizeu	23. Rafael (G) 2. Igor Vinicius 5. Robert Arboleda 28. Franco A. 3. Lewis J. 16. Luiz Gustavo 20. Marcos Antonio 10. Luciano 7. Lucas Moura 9. Jonathan Calleri 33. Erick
Substitutes
25. Alisson (G) 45. Arthur Caike 20. Dudu 7. Fellipe Mateus 5. Higor Meritao 13. Jonathan 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 85. Patrick de Paula 28. Pedro Rocha 6. Ronald Lopes 35. Serginho 33. Walisson Maia	17. Andre Silva 32. Ferraresi N. 47. Ferreirinha 8. Giuliano Galoppo 93. Jandrei (G) 26. Liziero 13. Rafinha 11. Rodrigo Nestor 35. Sabino 22. Tressoldi R. 27. Wellington Rato 39. William Gomes
Coaches
Claudio Tencati	Zubeldia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Felipe Vizeu ⚽,
40', Newton 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Erick ↓, Ferreirinha ↑,
63', Lewis J. ↓, Liziero ↑,
66', Claudinho ↓, Jonathan ↑,
66', Felipe Vizeu ↓, Arthur Caike ↑,
79', Bolasie Y. ↓, Fellipe Mateus ↑,
80', Newton ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
83', Lucas Moura ↓, Wellington Rato ↑,
83', Franco A. ↓, Sabino ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Liziero ⚽, Jonathan Calleri (A),
89', Jonathan 🟨,
90+1', Matheusinho ↓, Serginho ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently São Paulo have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Criciúma: Angel W. (Injury)

There will not play in São Paulo: Alisson (Injury) Bobadilla D. (Injury) Ferraresi N. (Injury) Lewis J. (Injury) Michel Araujo (Injury) Pablo Maia (Injury) Patryck (Injury)

There are questionable in Criciúma: Dudu (Injury) Serginho (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Criciúma won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie A
18.10.24	Botafogo RJ - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
03.10.24	Criciúma - Atlético Goianiense	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Bahia - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
25.09.24	Grêmio - Criciúma	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 TWLWT
- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Serie A
16.10.24	São Paulo - Vasco da Gama	3:0 ✺
05.10.24	Cuiabá - São Paulo	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	São Paulo - Corinthians	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.09.24	São Paulo - Botafogo RJ	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie A
22.09.24	São Paulo - Internacional RS	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
27.06.24	São Paulo - Criciúma	2:1
02.11.14	Criciúma - São Paulo	1:2
Copa Sudamericana
04.09.14	São Paulo - Criciúma	2:0
28.08.14	Criciúma - São Paulo	2:1
Brazilian Serie A
02.08.14	São Paulo - Criciúma	1:1
01.12.13	Criciúma - São Paulo	1:0
05.09.13	São Paulo - Criciúma	1:2

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