The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Mineiro 50.4%
Draw 28.3%
Vitória Salvador 21.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.5%
25.6%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60%
24.5%
16.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Mineiro's form might have worsened.
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitória Salvador, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90%
10%
0%
Atlético Mineiro - Vitória Salvador Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.25 - Atlético MG (2.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Atlético Mineiro will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Delfim (C) 23. Preciado A. 2. Natanael 40. Vitao 36. Pascini K. 25. Perez T. 5. Alexsander 39. Cisse M. 19. Reinier 27. Minda A. 18. Borbas T.
1. Lucas Arcanjo (C) 2. Britez E. 25. Caca 36. Luan Candido 83. Jamerson 6. Emmanuel Martinez 7. Marinho 8. Pochettino T. 95. Caique Goncalves 12. Tarzia D. 9. Alex Bruno
Substitutes
9. Cassierra M. 15. Castano K. 29. Caua 28. Cuello 92. Dudu 21. Franco A. 10. Gustavo Scarpa 48. Gutte 6. Lodi R. 53. Pedro Lemos 31. Robert (G) 14. Vitor Hugo
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 0.
Atlético MG is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Vitória's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Atlético MG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Atlético MG is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Atlético MG: Duarte L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Igor Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Indio
(Knee Injury)
Lyanco
(Foot Injury)
Patrick Silva
(Knee Injury)
Victor Hugo
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Vitória: Anderson
(Knee Injury)
Baralhas
(Inactive)
Camutanga
(Broken Leg)
Dudu
(Back Injury)
Edu
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nathan Mendes
(Knee Injury)
Pochettino T.
(Inactive)
Ramos R.
(Knee Injury)
Riccieli
(Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Atlético MG: Gustavo Scarpa
(Muscle Injury)
Ruan Tressoldi
(Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 1.3:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:11. (average 1.9:1.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Atletico-MG
29
12
8
9
39:34
5
44
12
Vitoria
29
10
6
13
32:42
-10
36
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Mineiro - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.51%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.