Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 33

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	MEGOGO
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol
Peru	L1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Ukraine	Sport 2
World	El Canal del Futbol app, Fanatiz


	Cruzeiro		Criciúma

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	6	Watch
	1.65	3.8	5.5
	1.63	3.75	5.5
	1.64	3.97	5.86
	1.62	3.87	5.68	Watch
	1.62	3.92	5.55	Watch
	1.63	3.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.6)	3.83 ↓ (3.88)	5.66 ↓ (5.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
58.4%

Draw
24.8%

Criciúma
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

24.4%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

26.3%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruzeiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	21.4%	35.7%

Cruzeiro - Criciúma Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Criciúma will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cassio (G) 12. William Furtado 43. Joao Marcelo 25. Villalba L. 3. Marlon 16. Lucas Silva (C) 29. Romero L. 97. Matheus Henrique 10. Matheus Pereira 30. Gabriel Veron 9. Kaio Jorge	25. Alisson (G) 27. Claudinho 3. Rodrigo (C) 4. Angel W. 14. Trauco M. 8. Newton 200. Gustavo Barreto 2. Allano 17. Matheusinho 22. Marcelo Hermes 45. Arthur Caike
Substitutes
98. Anderson (G) 21. Barreal A. 26. Diaz L. 77. Japa 34. Jonathan Jesus 6. Kaiki 7. Mateus Vital 33. Peralta F. 17. Ramiro 22. Vitinho 2. Wesley Gasolina 5. Ze Ivaldo	11. Bolasie Y. 20. Dudu 7. Fellipe Mateus 29. Figueiredo T. 5. Higor Meritao 50. Jhonata Robert 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 28. Pedro Rocha 6. Ronald Lopes 35. Serginho 32. Teixeira M. (G) 33. Walisson Maia
Coaches
Fernando Diniz	Claudio Tencati

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Matheus Pereira (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Rodrigo 🟨,
52', Arthur Caike 🟨,
60', Lucas Silva 🟨,
66', Kaio Jorge 🟨,
67', Arthur Caike ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
67', Gustavo Barreto ↓, Fellipe Mateus ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Gabriel Veron ⚽, Kaio Jorge (A),
74', Trauco M. ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
75', Matheusinho ↓, Pedro Rocha ↑,
80', Claudinho ↓, Marquinhos Gabriel ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Allano ⚽,
86', Lucas Silva ↓, Ze Ivaldo ↑,
86', Angel W. 🟨,
86', Kaio Jorge ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
87', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
90+4', Gabriel Veron ↓, Barreal A. ↑,
90+5', Matheus Pereira ↓, Ramiro ↑,
90+5', Trauco M. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Criciúma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cruzeiro is a favorite.

There will not play in Cruzeiro: Dinenno J. (Injury)

There will not play in Criciúma: Felipe Vizeu (Red Card)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:7 (average 1.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Cruzeiro won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:5 (average 3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
06.11.24	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.10.24	Lanús - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.10.24	Athletico Paranaense - Cruzeiro	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.10.24	Cruzeiro - Lanús	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
18.10.24	Cruzeiro - Bahia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLTT
- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie A
05.11.24	Internacional RS - Criciúma	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Criciúma - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
18.10.24	Botafogo RJ - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
03.10.24	Criciúma - Atlético Goianiense	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Bahia - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
03.07.24	Criciúma - Cruzeiro	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
04.09.22	Cruzeiro - Criciúma	1:1
27.05.22	Criciúma - Cruzeiro	0:1
Brazilian Serie A
09.11.14	Cruzeiro - Criciúma	3:1
09.08.14	Criciúma - Cruzeiro	0:0
26.10.13	Cruzeiro - Criciúma	5:3
07.08.13	Criciúma - Cruzeiro	1:2

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