Match Info

EUROPE: EURO - QUALIFICATION - ROUND 1

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Poljud (Split) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	06:45	Optus Sport
Belgium	20:45	Eleven Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 2
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Sport
Finland	21:45	CMore, CMore Sport
Greece	21:45	Nova Sports
Malaysia	03:45	Astro
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV
Romania	21:45	Prima Sport 2
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport
Slovenia	20:45	SportKlub
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
United Kingdom	19:45	Viaplay


	Croatia		Wales

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	9
	1.38	4.4	9.75
	1.42	4.4	9.5
	1.38	4.5	9
	1.39	4.68	10.09
	1.6	3.8	5.8
	1.36	4.7	9.7
	1.41	4.4	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.57)	4.45 ↑ (3.85)	9.03 ↑ (5.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Croatia
67.9%

Draw
21.5%

Wales
10.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.3%

24.2%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Croatia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Croatia's performance.

Wales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wales might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.1%	4.5%	6.4%

Croatia - Wales Predictions

Users Predictions: Croatia will win (98 of 110 users predict this - 89.09%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.26% – 94.92%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match Croatia is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Croatia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Croatia
FIFA World Cup
17.12.22	Croatia - Morocco	2:1 ✺
13.12.22	Argentina - Croatia	3:0 ✺
09.12.22	Croatia - Brazil	2:1 penalties ✺
05.12.22	Japan - Croatia	1:2 penalties ✺
01.12.22	Croatia - Belgium	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WLWWT
- Wales
FIFA World Cup
29.11.22	Wales - England	0:3 ✺
25.11.22	Wales - Iran	0:2 ✺
21.11.22	USA - Wales	1:1 ✺
UEFA Nations League
25.09.22	Wales - Poland	0:1 ✺
22.09.22	Belgium - Wales	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro
13.10.19	Wales - Croatia	1:1
08.06.19	Croatia - Wales	2:1
FIFA World Cup
26.03.13	Wales - Croatia	1:2
16.10.12	Croatia - Wales	2:0

Croatia - Wales