The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crotone 48.5%
Draw 27.4%
Ascoli 24.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.8%
28.4%
25.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.3%
19.4%
37.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-17.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crotone that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ascoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
46.7%
10%
43.3%
Crotone - Ascoli Predictions
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Crotone will win (votes: 14 - 46.7%). Ascoli will win (votes: 13 - 43.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Crotone: 28.8% – 64.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Crotone has the most likely position - 16 (8.45%), has project points - 45, has currently - 3, has a chance of relegated (27%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (17%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Ascoli has the most likely position - 10 (7.36%), has project points - 52, has currently - 12, has a small chance of relegated (11%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (32%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Crotone is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Ascoli is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ascoli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Crotone will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Crotone won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Crotone won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.
Watch
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