The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crotone 33.5%
Draw 28.3%
Lecce 38.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.5%
29.8%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.9%
20.8%
45.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lecce's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crotone that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lecce could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.5%
50%
38.5%
Crotone - Lecce Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Crotone will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Lecce will win (votes: 10 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.8% – 69.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Crotone has the most likely position - 9 (6.8%), has project points - 51, has currently - 3, has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (30%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Lecce has the most likely position - 6 (7.46%), has project points - 55, has currently - 5, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (41%), has a small chance of promoted (15%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Crotone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Crotone won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Crotone won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
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