Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 22

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
Ecuador	DAZN App
Italy	NOW TV, RaiPlay, RAI Sport, RAI Sport+, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Mexico	DAZN App
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
World	FIFA+


	Nuova Cosenza		Crotone

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.7
	1.93	3.36	3.68	Watch
	1.95	3	3.4
	1.94	3.24	3.6	Watch
	2	3.25	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.31)	3.22 ↓ (3.38)	3.61 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
46.5%

Draw
28.2%

Crotone
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

27%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

26.5%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nuova Cosenza's performance.

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crotone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nuova Cosenza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crotone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Nuova Cosenza - Crotone Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Crotone will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cosenza: 76.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cosenza (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vettorel T. (G) 45. Ciotti P. 26. Dametto P. 17. Caporale A. 11. D'Orazio T. 10. Garritano L. 77. Langella C. 19. Contiliano N. 7. Cannavo K. 16. Ricciardi M. 90. Emmausso M.	1. Merelli D. (G) 28. Andreoni C. 5. Cargnelutti R. 6. Di Pasquale D. 23. Groppelli F. 21. Sandri M. 7. Vinicius 16. Gallo A. 18. Piovanello E. 9. Gomez G. 96. Zunno M.
Substitutes
23. Achour S. 27. Ba R. 9. Beretta G. 5. Contiero L. 33. Ferrara A. 12. Le Rose G. (G) 71. Mazzulla A. 1. Pompei T. (G) 21. Ragone D. 32. Rocco A.	80. Bruno K. 32. Calvano S. 72. Cocetta N. 11. Energe A. 25. Guerra W. 2. Leo D. 27. Maggio M. 19. Marazzotti F. 35. Novella M. 33. Perlingieri M. 12. Pio Martino A. (G) 61. Sala A. (G) 8. Stronati R. 77. Vrenna M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Di Pasquale D. ⚽,
39', Caporale A. 🟨,
45', Ciotti P. 🟨,
45+2', Piovanello E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Emmausso M. ↓, Beretta G. ↑,
46', D'Orazio T. ↓, Ferrara A. ↑,
50', Ferrara A. ↓, Ba R. ↑,
54', 0 - 2, Piovanello E. ⚽,
58', Groppelli F. 🟨,
64', Garritano L. ↓, Ragone D. ↑,
72', Zunno M. 🟨,
75', Contiliano N. 🟨,
76', Contiliano N. ↓, Achour S. ↑,
76', Groppelli F. ↓, Novella M. ↑,
76', Piovanello E. ↓, Energe A. ↑,
83', Sandri M. ↓, Calvano S. ↑,
86', Gomez G. ↓, Perlingieri M. ↑,
86', Zunno M. ↓, Maggio M. ↑,
90+4', Energe A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cosenza won 1.

In recent matches, Cosenza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Crotone is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cosenza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cosenza is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cosenza won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 0.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cosenza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Cosenza	8	0	2	6	5:18	-13	2
20	Crotone	9	1	3	5	10:15	-5	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie C Group C
12.01.26	Salernitana - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
05.01.26	Nuova Cosenza - Monopoli	0:2 ✺
19.12.25	Nuova Cosenza - Cavese	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Trapani - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Nuova Cosenza - Picerno	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLWTW
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
10.01.26	Crotone - Altamura	0:1 ✺
05.01.26	Benevento - Crotone	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Latina - Crotone	1:1 ✺
15.12.25	Crotone - Casarano	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.12.25	Potenza - Crotone	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
07.09.25	Crotone - Nuova Cosenza	0:0
Italian Serie B
23.02.22	Crotone - Nuova Cosenza	3:3
25.09.21	Nuova Cosenza - Crotone	1:0
20.01.20	Nuova Cosenza - Crotone	0:1
24.08.19	Crotone - Nuova Cosenza	0:0
07.04.19	Nuova Cosenza - Crotone	1:0
26.11.18	Crotone - Nuova Cosenza	0:1

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