Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 19

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Amerigo Liguori (Torre del Greco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Uno


	Turris		Crotone

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.5	1.58
	5.4	3.8	1.58
	4.8	3.75	1.55
	5.59	3.84	1.6	Watch
	5.5	3.6	1.53
	5.27	3.72	1.56
	5.4	3.8	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.25 ↓ (5.28)	3.72 (3.72)	1.57 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Turris
17.4%

Draw
24.5%

Crotone
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

24.8%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

24.1%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Turris have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turris than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Turris - Crotone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Marcone R. (G) 2. Esempio S. 13. Ricci L. 5. Cocetta N. 23. Scaccabarozzi J. 16. Casarini F. 38. Nicolao G. 4. Castellano F. 99. Pugliese S. 18. Onofrietti V. 45. Ekuban J.	22. D'Alterio F. (G) 18. Guerini A. 13. Armini N. 6. Di Pasquale D. 3. Giron M. 16. Gallo A. 38. Schiro T. 41. Silva J. 10. Vitale M. 7. Oviszach E. 93. Tumminello M. (C)
Substitutes
11. Armiento C. 66. Boli J. 30. Desiato F. 22. Fallani M. (G) 1. Iuliano S. (G) 8. Morrone B. 17. Nocerino L. 19. Parodi G. 27. Porro M. 31. Sabatino B. 9. Solmonte A.	21. Barberis A. 19. Cantisani R. 5. Cargnelutti R. 99. Chiarella L. 73. Cucinotta D. (G) 24. D'Aprile G. 9. Gomez G. 23. Groppelli F. 77. Kostadinov D. 33. Rispoli A. 20. Rojas L. 1. Sala A. (G) 28. Spina M. 8. Stronati R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Oviszach E. ⚽,
26', Ricci L. 🟨,
37', Scaccabarozzi J. 🟨,
38', 0 - 2, Tumminello M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
54', 0 - 3, Guerini A. ⚽, Vitale M. (A),
56', Ricci L. ↓, Boli J. ↑,
57', Castellano F. ↓, Nocerino L. ↑,
57', Di Pasquale D. ↓, Cargnelutti R. ↑,
69', Oviszach E. ↓, Barberis A. ↑,
70', 0 - 4, Guerini A. ⚽,
73', Giron M. 🟨,
77', 0 - 5, Vitale M. ⚽,
79', Tumminello M. ↓, Chiarella L. ↑,
79', Vitale M. ↓, Spina M. ↑,
79', Onofrietti V. ↓, Armiento C. ↑,
79', Guerini A. ↓, Rispoli A. ↑,
79', Nicolao G. ↓, Parodi G. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Turris is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Crotone is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Crotone is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Turris won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:10 (average 1.3:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Turris won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:8 (average 1:4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Turris 1944
Italian Serie C Group C
08.12.24	Picerno - Turris	2:0 ✺
01.12.24	Turris - ACR Messina	1:2 ✺
27.11.24	Juventus U23 - Turris	0:0 ✺
24.11.24	Turris - Foggia	1:2 ✺
11.11.24	Turris - Altamura	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTLT
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
08.12.24	Crotone - Casertana	2:3 ✺
30.11.24	Foggia - Crotone	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Crotone - Juventus U23	2:1 ✺
17.11.24	Latina - Crotone	0:4 ✺
10.11.24	Crotone - Catania	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
13.01.24	Turris - Crotone	0:4
10.09.23	Crotone - Turris	2:3
25.02.23	Crotone - Turris	0:0
23.10.22	Turris - Crotone	2:4

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