Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ezio Scida (Crotone)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Crotone		Monopoli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.75
	1.77	3.35	5.38
	1.73	3.28	4.64	Watch
	1.64	3.66	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.62)	3.42 ↓ (3.75)	4.94 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crotone
54.2%

Draw
27.1%

Monopoli
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

24.4%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

23%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Monopoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crotone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Crotone - Monopoli Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monopoli (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Merelli D. (G) 2. Leo D. 20. Berra F. 6. Di Pasquale D. 25. Guerra W. 16. Gallo A. 21. Sandri M. 96. Zunno M. 9. Gomez G. 27. Maggio M. 11. Murano J.	22. Piana E. (G) 28. Angileri A. 6. Miceli M. 16. Valenti B. 99. Imputato A. 19. Calcagni R. 8. Battocchio C. 21. Scipioni E. 77. Viteritti O. 11. Fall M. 9. Longo S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Sandri M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, Scipioni E. ⚽,
61', Leo D. ↓, Stronati R. ↑,
62', Gallo A. ↓, Piovanello E. ↑,
62', Berra F. ↓, Cargnelutti R. ↑,
66', Guerra W. ↓, Groppelli F. ↑,
74', Fall M. ↓, Cascella R. ↑,
74', Scipioni E. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,
75', Zunno M. ↓, Bruno K. ↑,
79', Valenti B. ↓, Bordo L. ↑,
80', Angileri A. 🟨,
82', Imputato A. 🟨,
85', Angileri A. ↓, Ronco D. ↑,
85', Longo S. ↓, Oyewale S. ↑,
90', Cascella R. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crotone won 4.

Crotone is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Monopoli has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Crotone is a strong favorite.

We predict that Crotone will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Crotone won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Crotone won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
11.10.25	Foggia - Crotone	0:3 ✺
04.10.25	Crotone - Picerno	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Crotone - Casertana	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Atalanta U23 - Crotone	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Crotone - Siracusa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWW
- SS Monopoli 1966
Italian Serie C Group C
12.10.25	Monopoli - Salernitana	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Sorrento - Monopoli	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Monopoli - Cavese	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Monopoli - Altamura	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Latina - Monopoli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
23.02.25	Crotone - Monopoli	2:0
12.10.24	Monopoli - Crotone	1:1
21.04.24	Crotone - Monopoli	3:1
17.12.23	Monopoli - Crotone	0:3
07.01.23	Monopoli - Crotone	1:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.11.22	Crotone - Monopoli	3:2 ET
Italian Serie C Group C
11.09.22	Crotone - Monopoli	2:0

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