Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 22

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Crotone		Virtus Francavilla

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.7	5.5
	1.52	3.75	6.5
	1.48	3.78	6.64
	1.44	3.75	6.5
	1.46	3.82	6.68
	1.48	3.75	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.52)	3.76 ↑ (3.68)	6.34 ↑ (6.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crotone
61.4%

Draw
24.2%

Virtus Francavilla
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

25%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

24.3%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Crotone - Virtus Francavilla Predictions

Users Predictions: Crotone will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dini A. (G) 2. Papini F. 5. Bove D. 18. Loiacono G. 19. Tribuzzi A. 10. Petriccione J. (C) 15. Negro Di Stefano V. 3. Giron M. 7. D'Ursi E. 93. Tumminello M. 28. Vitale M.	89. Branduani P. (G) 15. Dutu E. 5. Monteagudo J. C. 3. De Marino D. 7. Biondi K. 21. Risolo A. 8. Di Marco T. 50. Ingrosso G. 30. Macca F. 9. Artistico G. 10. Polidori A.
Substitutes
17. Bruzzaniti G. 29. Cantisani R. 14. Crialese C. 22. D'Alterio F. (G) 8. Felippe Martello L. 9. Gomez G. 23. Jurcec J. 12. Lucano A. (G)	70. Cardoselli C. 17. Carella F. 1. Carretta F. (G) 72. Fekete M. 99. Garofalo V. 6. Gasbarro A. 90. Giovinco G. 12. Lucatelli I. (G) 23. Nicoli S. 25. Serio S. 29. Vapore A.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Crotone is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Virtus Francavilla has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Crotone is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Crotone won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Crotone won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
13.01.24	Turris - Crotone	0:4 ✺
07.01.24	Crotone - Catania	3:0 ✺
22.12.23	Crotone - Avellino	0:1 ✺
17.12.23	Monopoli - Crotone	0:3 ✺
09.12.23	Crotone - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWT
- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
13.01.24	Virtus Francavilla - Benevento	1:2 ✺
06.01.24	Picerno - Virtus Francavilla	3:0 ✺
23.12.23	Virtus Francavilla - Potenza	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Juve Stabia - Virtus Francavilla	3:0 ✺
11.12.23	Virtus Francavilla - Audace Cerignola	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
17.09.23	Virtus Francavilla - Crotone	3:1
19.02.23	Virtus Francavilla - Crotone	1:2
18.10.22	Crotone - Virtus Francavilla	3:0

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