The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crotone 28.5%
Draw 29.1%
Frosinone 42.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.4%
27.5%
50.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.7%
21.7%
63.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crotone's performance.
Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Frosinone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crotone that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+21.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Frosinone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Crotone - Frosinone Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Crotone has the most likely position - 19 (55.79%), has project points - 26, has currently - 16, has a very good chance of relegated (96%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.
Frosinone has the most likely position - 7 (18.91%), has project points - 62, has currently - 48, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (74%), has a small chance of promoted (15%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
This event has small quality30, small importance25, small match rating27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Crotone is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Frosinone is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Frosinone will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Crotone won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Crotone won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
Watch
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