The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Trapani 21.6%
Draw 26.5%
Crotone 51.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.2%
26.2%
44.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.9%
25.9%
45.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trapani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trapani's form might have worsened.
Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crotone's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trapani, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crotone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Trapani - Crotone Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Trapani (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Trapani (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Galeotti C. (G) 47. Morelli G. 31. Pirrello R. 23. Motoc A. 30. Nicoli S. 8. Celeghin E. 74. Marcolini D. 17. La Sorsa C. 9. Vazquez F. 33. Benedetti A. 77. Stauciuc B.
1. Merelli D. (G) 35. Novella M. 13. Armini N. 6. Di Pasquale D. 25. Guerra W. 21. Sandri M. 7. Vinicius 14. Meli M. 27. Maggio M. 10. Musso A. 11. Energe A.
Substitutes
20. Aronica G. 14. Battimelli G. 27. Cozzoli F. 70. Forte R. 80. Knezovic B. 18. Matos 10. Napolitano L. 4. Nina C. 7. Ortisi P. 2. Perri M. 71. Quiroz G. 22. Salamone S. (G) 1. Ujkaj E. (G) 5. Vimercati A. 92. Winkelmann T.
80. Bruno K. 32. Calvano S. 72. Cocetta N. 9. Gomez G. 23. Groppelli F. 19. Marazzotti F. 76. Paciotti G. (G) 12. Pio Martino A. (G) 18. Piovanello E. 17. Russo D. 77. Vrenna M. 96. Zunno M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, Benedetti A. ⚽,
15', Di Pasquale D. 🟨,
20', Vazquez F. ↓, Matos ↑,
27', 1 - 1, Musso A. ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, Sandri M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Di Pasquale D. ↓, Cocetta N. ↑,
53', Morelli G. ↓, Perri M. ↑,
54', 1 - 3, Musso A. ⚽,
57', Nicoli S. 🟨,
59', 1 - 4, Energe A. ⚽,
66', Musso A. 🟨,
66', Sandri M. ↓, Calvano S. ↑,
66', Musso A. ↓, Russo D. ↑,
72', Benedetti A. ↓, Winkelmann T. ↑,
72', La Sorsa C. ↓, Forte R. ↑,
72', Stauciuc B. ↓, Battimelli G. ↑,
76', Maggio M. ↓, Marazzotti F. ↑,
81', Forte R. 🟨,
85', Celeghin E. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trapani won 3.
Trapani has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Crotone has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Crotone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Crotone might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Trapani won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Trapani won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
Italy
Watch
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Galeotti C. (G) 
Motoc A. 
Vazquez F. 
Stauciuc B. 
Vinicius 
Knezovic B. 
Ujkaj E. (G) 
Winkelmann T. 
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