Match Info

Date: 17 April 2021, Saturday


	Crotone		Udinese

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.8	3.6	1.95
	3.9	3.6	1.93	Watch
	3.7	3.6	1.96
	3.96	3.64	2.02
	3.8	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.88	3.74	2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↓ (4.19)	3.63 ↑ (3.61)	1.97 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crotone
25%

Draw
26.4%

Udinese
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

26.5%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

18.3%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crotone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Udinese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.5%	14.5%	70.9%

Crotone - Udinese Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Crotone will win (votes: 8 - 14.5%). Udinese will win (votes: 39 - 70.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 14.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Udinese: 58.9% – 82.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

No spectators.

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Crotone has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Udinese has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

The competitors look crappy now.

Udinese will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Crotone won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Crotone won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie A
10.04.21	Spezia - Crotone	3:2 ✺
03.04.21	Napoli - Crotone	4:3 ✺
20.03.21	Crotone - Bologna	2:3 ✺
12.03.21	Lazio - Crotone	3:2 ✺
07.03.21	Crotone - Torino	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLLW
- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
10.04.21	Udinese - Torino	0:1 ✺
03.04.21	Atalanta - Udinese	3:2 ✺
21.03.21	Udinese - Lazio	0:1 ✺
13.03.21	Genoa - Udinese	1:1 ✺
06.03.21	Udinese - Sassuolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
15.12.20	Udinese - Crotone	0:0
22.04.18	Udinese - Crotone	1:2
04.12.17	Crotone - Udinese	0:3
14.05.17	Crotone - Udinese	1:0
18.12.16	Udinese - Crotone	2:0

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