Match Info

Serie A - Round 28

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: New Balance Arena (Bergamo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	18:00	Tring Sport 1
Angola	18:00	Z Sports 1
Argentina	14:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	21:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	18:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	21:00	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	14:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	12:00	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
Chile	14:00	Disney+
China	01:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:00	ESPN
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	18:00	DAZN France
Georgia	21:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	18:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	19:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	18:00	Match 4
Indonesia	00:00	Vidio
Italy	18:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	18:00	Arena Premium 2
Kuwait	20:00	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	01:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	01:00	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go
Malta	18:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Moldova	19:00	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	18:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	06:00	beIN Connect
Norway	18:00	VG+
Peru	12:00	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	18:00	CANAL+ Poland, Eleven Sports 2
Romania	19:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	20:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	20:00	STC TV
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	18:00	Sport 1
Slovenia	18:00	Arena Sport 4
South Korea	02:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	18:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:00	TV4 Play
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	00:00	True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	18:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	20:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United Kingdom	17:00	DAZN
Uruguay	14:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	DAZN Espanol, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+
Vietnam	00:00	ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
International	17:00	Starzplay Sports app


	Atalanta		Udinese

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5	Watch
	1.66	3.8	5
	1.75	3.55	4.95	Watch
	1.77	3.7	5.72
	1.65	3.79	5.63	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.6
	1.73	3.72	5.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.52)	3.68 ↓ (4.15)	5.19 ↓ (6.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
55.8%

Draw
25.9%

Udinese
18.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62%

22.8%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

22.2%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atalanta's form might have worsened.

Udinese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atalanta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78%	12.2%	9.8%

Atalanta - Udinese Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 31 - 77.5%). Udinese will win (votes: 4 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 64.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Atalanta (4.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Udinese (5.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB - Atalanta (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atalanta will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Udinese (votes: 1 - 6.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 3. Kossounou O. 4. Hien I. 23. Kolasinac S. 16. Bellanova R. 6. Musah Y. 8. Pasalic M. (C) 47. Bernasconi L. 10. Samardzic L. 7. Sulemana K. 9. Scamacca G.	40. Okoye M. (G) 31. Kristensen T. 27. Kabasele C. 22. Mlacic B. 19. Ehizibue K. 24. Piotrowski J. 8. Karlstrom J. (C) 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 11. Kamara H. 10. Zaniolo N. 9. Davis K.
Substitutes
69. Ahanor H. 5. Bakker M. 15. De Roon M. 19. Djimsiti B. 90. Krstovic N. 46. Levak S. 31. Rossi F. (G) 57. Sportiello M. (G) 45. Vavassori D. 59. Zalewski N. 77. Zappacosta D.	20. Arizala J. 14. Atta A. 15. Bayo V. 18. Buksa A. 29. Camara A. 7. Gueye I. 38. Miller L. 1. Nunziante A. (G) 93. Padelli D. (G) 90. Sava R. (G) 6. Zarraga O.
Coaches
Palladino R.	Runjaic K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Mlacic B. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Kristensen T. ⚽, Zaniolo N. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Mlacic B. ↓, Zarraga O. ↑,
46', Musah Y. ↓, De Roon M. ↑,
52', De Roon M. 🟨,
55', 0 - 2, Davis K. ⚽,
57', Bellanova R. ↓, Zappacosta D. ↑,
57', Samardzic L. ↓, Krstovic N. ↑,
57', Kossounou O. ↓, Zalewski N. ↑,
62', Zaniolo N. ↓, Atta A. ↑,
62', Piotrowski J. ↓, Miller L. ↑,
66', Okoye M. 🟨,
75', 1 - 2, Scamacca G. ⚽, Zalewski N. (A),
76', Davis K. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Scamacca G. ⚽,
80', Kamara H. ↓, Arizala J. ↑,
87', Kolasinac S. ↓, Djimsiti B. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Udinese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atalanta is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Atalanta: De Ketelaere C. (Knee Injury) Ederson (Muscle Injury) Scalvini G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Udinese: Bertola N. (Ankle Injury) Solet O. (Muscle Injury) Zanoli A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Atalanta: Raspadori G. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:22. (average 2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atalanta won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:9. (average 2.1:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Atalanta	7	3	0	4	10:11	-1	9
16	Udinese	7	1	1	5	9:16	-7	4

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Atalanta: 0.88% Udinese: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Coppa Italia
04.03.26	Lazio - Atalanta	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
01.03.26	Sassuolo - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.02.26	Atalanta - Borussia Dortmund	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.02.26	Atalanta - Napoli	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.02.26	Borussia Dortmund - Atalanta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWWL
- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
02.03.26	Udinese - Fiorentina	3:0 ✺
23.02.26	Bologna - Udinese	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Udinese - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Lecce - Udinese	2:1 ✺
02.02.26	Udinese - Roma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
01.11.25	Udinese - Atalanta	1:0
11.01.25	Udinese - Atalanta	0:0
10.11.24	Atalanta - Udinese	2:1
27.01.24	Atalanta - Udinese	2:0
12.11.23	Udinese - Atalanta	1:1
04.03.23	Atalanta - Udinese	0:0
09.10.22	Udinese - Atalanta	2:2

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